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Pinnacle Pioneers (9-5)

Region: AZ AGLA

State: AZ

Coach: Scott Stemm

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/07	MOUNTAIN POINTE (2-11)	AZ AGLA	58.9		W	12-	1		0.025
2/12	at Phoenix Country Day (3-10)	AZ AGLA	59.0		W	10-	4		0.075
2/17	at Desert Mountain (8-6)	AZ AGLA	65.9	6	W	9-	4		0.200
2/23	at Chaparral, AZ (12-2)	AZ AGLA	73.6	4	L	6-	15		-0.150
3/02	DOBSON (5-8)	AZ AGLA	60.1	9	W	14-	2		0.000
3/15	at Horizon (15-0)	AZ AGLA	81.4	1	L	2-	11		0.000
3/20	CORONA DEL SOL (6-8)	AZ AGLA	64.4	8	W	11-	5		0.100
3/23	NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-13)	AZ AGLA	55.9		W	11-	5		0.000
4/03	XAVIOR COLLEGE PREP (12-3)	AZ AGLA	74.0	2	L	10-	13		-0.200
4/11	GILBERT (10-4)	AZ AGLA	73.8	3	L	3-	11		-0.200
4/12	at Desert Vista (6-8)	AZ AGLA	65.8	7	W	14-	7		0.225
4/14	at Tucson Storm (1-11)	AZ AGLA	59.1	10	W	1-	0		0.100
4/17	NOTRE DAME PREP, AZ (0-13)	AZ AGLA	55.9		W	16-	6		0.000
4/19	at Gilbert (10-4)	AZ AGLA	73.8	3	L	5-	6		-0.125
			69.5						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/07	H	Mountain Pointe	12-	1	11	9		-1.44	1.74
2/12	A	Phoenix Country Day	10-	4	6	7		1.44	-1.17
2/17	A	Desert Mountain	9-	4	5	2	+	1.44	3.02
2/23	A	Chaparral, AZ	6-	15	-9	-4	––	1.44	-4.50
3/02	H	Dobson	14-	2	12	10	+	-1.44	2.29
3/15	A	Horizon	2-	11	-9	-10		1.44	1.42
3/20	H	Corona Del Sol	11-	5	6	6		-1.44	0.41
3/23	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	11-	5	6	11	––	-1.44	-5.42
4/03	H	Xavior College Prep	10-	13	-3	-2		-1.44	-0.56
4/11	H	Gilbert	3-	11	-8	-2	––	-1.44	-5.80
4/12	A	Desert Vista	14-	7	7	1	++	1.44	5.92
4/17	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	16-	6	10	11		-1.44	-1.42
4/19	A	Gilbert	5-	6	-1	-5	++	1.44	4.07
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/07	H	Mountain Pointe	12-	1	-1.00
3/02	H	Dobson	14-	2	-2.29
4/17	H	Notre Dame Prep, AZ	16-	6	1.42
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	1243
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.55		Natl Power Rank	1243
Natl SOS Rating	54.97		Natl SOS Rank	1535
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	911
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	564
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3


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