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Pine Creek Eagles (9-6)

Region: CO Southn

State: CO

Coach: Roger Wallace

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/09	STEAMBOAT SPRINGS (2-11)	CO Metro	65.8		W	14-	2		0.000
3/12	at Boulder (10-6)	CO Centen	78.9		L	7-	8		-0.175
3/14	OVERLAND (1-12)	CO Centen	63.0		W	16-	9		0.000
3/16	at Green Mountain (8-6)	CO Jeffco	81.2		L	8-	15		-0.125
3/22	at Rampart (6-6)	CO Southn	77.4		L	5-	9		-0.200
4/04	at Lewis-Palmer (6-6)	CO Southn	73.2		W	13-	8		0.200
4/06	at Air Academy (12-2)	CO Southn	87.3	3	L	8-	21		0.000
4/10	at Chatfield (4-7)	CO Jeffco	70.5		W	8-	5		0.125
4/11	at Liberty, CO (8-4)	CO Southn	78.6		L	10-	13		-0.200
4/18	at Palmer (9-6)	CO Southn	73.4		W	11-	5		0.225
4/20	PUEBLO WEST (1-10)	CO Southn	65.6		W	12-	2		0.000
4/23	CHEROKEE TRAIL (5-10)	CO Centen	69.4		W	12-	7		0.075
4/25	RALSTON VALLEY (10-4)	CO Jeffco	83.0		W	10-	9		0.325
4/26	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (11-4)	CO Southn	83.1		L	9-	13		-0.200
4/27	at Mountain Range (0-10)	CO Indep	59.0		W	15-	0		0.000
			68.9						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	H	Steamboat Springs	14-	2	12	11		-1.27	1.02
3/12	A	Boulder	7-	8	-1	-3		1.27	1.61
3/14	H	Overland	16-	9	7	13	––	-1.27	-5.97
3/16	A	Green Mountain	8-	15	-7	-5	–	1.27	-2.44
3/22	A	Rampart	5-	9	-4	-2	–	1.27	-2.01
4/04	A	Lewis-Palmer	13-	8	5	2	+	1.27	2.64
4/06	A	Air Academy	8-	21	-13	-14		1.27	0.88
4/10	A	Chatfield	8-	5	3	5		1.27	-1.55
4/11	A	Liberty, CO	10-	13	-3	-2		1.27	-0.99
4/18	A	Palmer	11-	5	6	1	++	1.27	4.56
4/20	H	Pueblo West	12-	2	10	10		-1.27	0.23
4/23	H	Cherokee Trail	12-	7	5	7	–	-1.27	-2.38
4/25	H	Ralston Valley	10-	9	1	-3	++	-1.27	4.05
4/26	H	Cheyenne Mountain	9-	13	-4	-2		-1.27	-1.78
4/27	A	Mountain Range	15-	0	15	13	+	1.27	2.13
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/09	H	Steamboat Springs	14-	2	-1.02
4/06	A	Air Academy	8-	21	-0.88
4/20	H	Pueblo West	12-	2	-0.23
4/27	A	Mountain Range	15-	0	-2.13
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	651
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.82		Natl Power Rank	651
Natl SOS Rating	54.11		Natl SOS Rank	1608
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	912
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	672
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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