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Poolesville Falcons (13-1)

Region: MD 1A

State: MD

Coach: May Shlash

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	WOOTTON (11-3)	MD 4A	73.6		W	13-	12		0.175
3/24	at Damascus (6-6)	MD 4A	71.4		W	11-	9		0.200
3/27	WHEATON (3-6)	MD 3A	59.6		W	21-	2		0.000
3/29	at Rockville (10-3)	MD 2A	71.8		W	15-	6		0.175
4/13	CLARKSBURG ( -)				W	19-	2
4/17	JOHN F. KENNEDY, MD (1-9)	MD 3A	58.8		W	16-	5		0.000
4/19	BETHESDA-CHEVY CHASE (9-4)	MD 3A	71.9		W	18-	12		0.125
4/25	at Seneca Valley, MD (1-7)	MD 3A	62.1		W	19-	9		0.000
4/27	at Paint Branch (2-8)	MD 3A	64.1		W	16-	5		0.000
5/01	WALTER JOHNSON (0-8)	MD 4A	67.0		W	12-	4		0.050
5/04	at Quince Orchard (9-3)	MD 4A	73.1		W	10-	8	ot	0.200
5/07	at Northwest (5-6)	MD 3A	65.9		W	15-	5		0.025
5/14	MIDDLETOWN, MD (12-3)	MD 2A	72.3		W	18-	13		0.125
5/17	CENTURY, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	8-	19		0.000
			71.7						1.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Wootton	13-	12	1	3	–	-1.20	-2.33
3/24	A	Damascus	11-	9	2	2		1.20	-0.41
3/27	H	Wheaton	21-	2	19	19		-1.20	0.00
3/29	A	Rockville	15-	6	9	3	+++	1.20	6.42
4/17	H	John F. Kennedy, MD	16-	5	11	18	–––	-1.20	-6.75
4/19	H	Bethesda-Chevy Chase	18-	12	6	5		-1.20	1.40
4/25	A	Seneca Valley, MD	19-	9	10	12		1.20	-1.93
4/27	A	Paint Branch	16-	5	11	10		1.20	1.03
5/01	H	Walter Johnson	12-	4	8	8		-1.20	-0.06
5/04	A	Quince Orchard	10-	8	2	2		1.20	0.46
5/07	A	Northwest	15-	5	10	9		1.20	0.87
5/14	H	Middletown, MD	18-	13	5	5		-1.20	0.05
5/17	H	Century, MD	8-	19	-11	-12		-1.20	1.25
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Wheaton	21-	2	0.00
4/17	H	John F. Kennedy, MD	16-	5	6.75
4/25	A	Seneca Valley, MD	19-	9	1.93
4/27	A	Paint Branch	16-	5	-1.03
5/07	A	Northwest	15-	5	0.00
5/17	H	Century, MD	8-	19	-1.25
10-goal correction: 0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	658
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.80		Natl Power Rank	658
Natl SOS Rating	58.46		Natl SOS Rank	1203
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	113
W-L Pct Rating	0.93		W-L Pct Rank	51
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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