High School Computer Ratings

Potomac School Panthers (13-8)

Region: DC ISL A

State: VA

Coach: Jessica Lowrance

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/13	at Dominion (11-7)	VA NW AA	75.6		W	10-	5	0.100
3/15	at St. Andrew's, DC (12-5)	DC ISL AA	80.6		W	6-	4	0.225
3/27	at Madeira School (2-10)	DC ISL AA	69.2		W	17-	4	0.000
4/05	at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5	1	L	2-	18	0.000
4/10	at Holton-Arms School (11-7)	DC ISL A	86.9	4	L	8-	18	-0.100
4/13	LOYOLA ACADEMY, IL (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9		W	13-	8	0.325
4/17	at Bullis School (12-6)	DC ISL A	84.5	6	L	6-	8	-0.175
4/20	COLLEGIATE SCHOOL (18-4)	VA LIS	90.4		L	8-	9	-0.100
4/21	HOLY CHILD, DC (8-8)	DC ISL AA	79.4		W	8-	5	0.150
4/24	GEORGETOWN VISITATION (11-6)	DC ISL A	86.3	5	L	6-	9	-0.200
4/26	EPISCOPAL, VA (5-13)	DC ISL A	80.5		W	12-	9	0.200
4/28	at St. Anne's-Belfield (15-6)	VA LIS	84.5		W	12-	9	0.325
5/01	GEORGETOWN DAY SCHOOL (2-9)	DC ISL AA	70.7		W	19-	6	0.000
5/03	at National Cathedral, DC (3-10)	DC ISL A	79.0		W	10-	9	0.225
5/07	STONE RIDGE CDS (6-8)	DC ISL A	83.7	8	L	7-	8	-0.250
5/08	FOXCROFT SCHOOL (8-7)	DC ISL AA	75.3		W	13-	5	0.025
5/10	at Flint Hill School (2-10)	DC ISL AA	72.6		W	15-	7	0.075
5/12	at Holton-Arms School (11-7)	DC ISL A	86.9	4	L	7-	12	-0.100
5/16	WAKEFIELD SCHOOL, VA (6-4)	VA Indep	70.1		W	20-	3	0.000
5/18	vs. Foxcroft School # (8-7)	DC ISL AA	75.3		W	13-	4	0.075
5/19	vs. Cape Henry Collegiate # (14-2)	VA TCIS	84.1		L	13-	15	-0.225
# Neutral site			83.7					0.57

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Dominion	10-	5	5	6		1.27		-1.18
3/15	A	St. Andrew's, DC	6-	4	2	1		1.47	0.64
3/27	A	Madeira School	17-	4	13	12		1.47	1.36
4/05	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	2-	18	-16	-15		1.47	-0.81
4/10	A	Holton-Arms School	8-	18	-10	-6	––	1.47	-4.33
4/13	H	Loyola Academy, IL	13-	8	5	-3	+++	-1.37		7.51
4/17	A	Bullis School	6-	8	-2	-3		1.47	1.45
4/20	H	Collegiate School	8-	9	-1	-6	++	-1.27		5.12
4/21	H	Holy Child, DC	8-	5	3	4		-1.47	-1.03
4/24	H	Georgetown Visitation	6-	9	-3	-2		-1.47	-1.19
4/26	H	Episcopal, VA	12-	9	3	2		-1.47	1.12
4/28	A	St. Anne's-Belfield	12-	9	3	-3	++	1.27		5.78
5/01	H	Georgetown Day School	19-	6	13	12		-1.47	0.57
5/03	A	National Cathedral, DC	10-	9	1	1		1.47	0.48
5/07	H	Stone Ridge CDS	7-	8	-1	0		-1.47	-0.57
5/08	H	Foxcroft School	13-	5	8	9		-1.47	-0.94
5/10	A	Flint Hill School	15-	7	8	7		1.47	1.05
5/12	A	Holton-Arms School	7-	12	-5	-6		1.47	0.67
5/16	H	Wakefield School, VA	20-	3	17	14	+	-1.27		2.82
5/18	N	Foxcroft School	13-	4	9	7		0.00	1.52
5/19	N	Cape Henry Collegiate	13-	15	-2	-1		0.00		-0.89
									0.00	19.16