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Pennsbury Falcons (10-8)

Region: PA Sub N

State: PA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	COUNCIL ROCK SOUTH (10-11)	PA Sub C	80.3		W	17-	15		0.200
3/28	WISSAHICKON (1-13)	PA Sub A	77.1		W	24-	13		0.025
3/30	at Central Bucks West (16-5)	PA Sub C	82.6		L	8-	11		-0.200
4/03	HATBORO-HORSHAM (15-5)	PA Sub C	86.8		W	16-	12		0.350
4/11	at Pennridge (9-11)	PA Sub N	79.8		L	6-	10		-0.275
4/13	CENTRAL BUCKS SOUTH (4-14)	PA Sub N	77.7		W	19-	4		0.050
4/18	at Abington HS, PA (18-3)	PA Sub N	91.1	4	L	5-	17		0.000
4/20	NORTH PENN (13-6)	PA Sub N	88.8		L	3-	19		-0.050
4/26	at Neshaminy (0-16)	PA Sub N	76.8		W	13-	5		0.050
4/30	PENNRIDGE (9-11)	PA Sub N	79.8		W	11-	10	ot	0.175
5/02	at Central Bucks South (4-14)	PA Sub N	77.7		W	18-	7		0.100
5/03	COUNCIL ROCK NORTH (16-3)	PA Sub N	87.8		L	11-	17		-0.125
5/07	at Council Rock North (16-3)	PA Sub N	87.8		L	5-	17		-0.075
5/08	ABINGTON HS, PA (18-3)	PA Sub N	91.1	4	L	4-	15		0.000
5/10	at North Penn (13-6)	PA Sub N	88.8		L	9-	20		0.000
5/15	ARCHBISHOP WOOD (16-5)	PA Cath	84.0		W	10-	9	ot	0.275
5/16	NESHAMINY (0-16)	PA Sub N	76.8		W	17-	7		0.000
5/17	at Plymouth-Whitemarsh (4-13)	PA Sub A	77.8		W	18-	14		0.125
			82.1						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Council Rock South	17-	15	2	2		-1.07	-0.22
3/28	H	Wissahickon	24-	13	11	9		-1.07	1.81
3/30	A	Central Bucks West	8-	11	-3	-2		1.07	-1.21
4/03	H	Hatboro-Horsham	16-	12	4	-4	+++	-1.07	8.49
4/11	A	Pennridge	6-	10	-4	1	––	1.07	-4.93
4/13	H	Central Bucks South	19-	4	15	8	+++	-1.07	6.67
4/18	A	Abington HS, PA	5-	17	-12	-12		1.07	-0.30
4/20	H	North Penn	3-	19	-16	-8	–––	-1.07	-7.61
4/26	A	Neshaminy	13-	5	8	8		1.07	0.37
4/30	H	Pennridge	11-	10	1	3	–	-1.07	-2.07
5/02	A	Central Bucks South	18-	7	11	6	++	1.07	4.81
5/03	H	Council Rock North	11-	17	-6	-5		-1.07	-0.69
5/07	A	Council Rock North	5-	17	-12	-7	––	1.07	-4.55
5/08	H	Abington HS, PA	4-	15	-11	-10		-1.07	-1.45
5/10	A	North Penn	9-	20	-11	-11		1.07	-0.46
5/15	H	Archbishop Wood	10-	9	1	-1	+	-1.07	2.33
5/16	H	Neshaminy	17-	7	10	10		-1.07	0.22
5/17	A	Plymouth-Whitemarsh	18-	14	4	5		1.07	-1.21
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	H	Wissahickon	24-	13	-1.00
4/13	H	Central Bucks South	19-	4	-5.00
4/18	A	Abington HS, PA	5-	17	0.30
4/20	H	North Penn	3-	19	6.00
5/02	A	Central Bucks South	18-	7	-1.00
5/07	A	Council Rock North	5-	17	2.00
5/08	H	Abington HS, PA	4-	15	1.00
5/10	A	North Penn	9-	20	0.46
5/16	H	Neshaminy	17-	7	-0.22
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	296
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.53		Natl Power Rank	296
Natl SOS Rating	75.97		Natl SOS Rank	171
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	326
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	813
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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