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Ralston Valley Mustangs (10-4 - 1)

Region: CO Jeffco

State: CO

Coach: Lars Johnson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/09	COLUMBINE (9-6)	CO Jeffco	76.6		W	14-	6		0.100
3/12	at Chaparral, CO (10-7)	CO Contin	83.6		L	10-	12		-0.175
3/14	LEWIS-PALMER (6-6)	CO Southn	73.2		W	20-	6		0.025
3/16	at Chatfield (4-7)	CO Jeffco	70.5		W	11-	2		0.025
3/19	at Grandview (5-9)	CO Centen	73.9		W	13-	11		0.150
3/20	at St. Mary's Academy, CO (4-8)	CO Metro	77.5		W	13-	9		0.225
3/23	at Green Mountain (8-6)	CO Jeffco	81.2		L	7-	12		-0.250
4/03	DAKOTA RIDGE (5-9)	CO Jeffco	75.8		W	12-	6		0.125
4/06	HERITAGE-LITTLETON (9-8)	CO Contin	83.7	10	L	0-	1		-0.225
4/09	at ThunderRidge (4-11)	CO Contin	75.7		W	13-	11		0.175
4/13	at Golden (9-6)	CO Jeffco	83.8	9	W	8-	5		0.350
4/16	at Boulder (10-6)	CO Centen	78.9		W	8-	7		0.200
4/17	EVERGREEN (2-10)	CO Jeffco	69.4		W	15-	7		0.000
4/25	at Pine Creek (9-6)	CO Southn	76.8		L	9-	10		-0.325
4/27	at Wheat Ridge (4-8)	CO Jeffco	75.3		T	14-	14		0.000
			72.0						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	H	Columbine	14-	6	8	6		-1.27	1.90
3/12	A	Chaparral, CO	10-	12	-2	-3		1.27	1.30
3/14	H	Lewis-Palmer	20-	6	14	9	++	-1.27	4.78
3/16	A	Chatfield	11-	2	9	9		1.27	0.13
3/19	A	Grandview	13-	11	2	4		1.27	-1.97
3/20	A	St. Mary's Academy, CO	13-	9	4	1	+	1.27	2.56
3/23	A	Green Mountain	7-	12	-5	0	––	1.27	-4.75
4/03	H	Dakota Ridge	12-	6	6	5		-1.27	1.18
4/09	A	ThunderRidge	13-	11	2	3		1.27	-1.16
4/13	A	Golden	8-	5	3	-4	+++	1.27	7.15
4/16	A	Boulder	8-	7	1	2		1.27	-0.71
4/17	H	Evergreen	15-	7	8	11	–	-1.27	-2.85
4/25	A	Pine Creek	9-	10	-1	3	––	1.27	-4.05
4/27	A	Wheat Ridge	14-	14	0	3	–	1.27	-3.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	Lewis-Palmer	20-	6	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	231
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.02		Natl Power Rank	231
Natl SOS Rating	58.16		Natl SOS Rank	1226
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	513
W-L Pct Rating	0.70		W-L Pct Rank	437
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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