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Regis Jesuit Raiders (7-9)

Region: CO Contin

State: CO

Coach: Bruce Barker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	at Smoky Hill (13-5)	CO Centen	84.7	6	L	8-	10		-0.125
3/12	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (11-4)	CO Southn	83.1		W	16-	13		0.200
3/14	at Heritage-Littleton (9-8)	CO Contin	83.7	10	L	4-	13		-0.150
4/02	at Grandview (5-9)	CO Centen	73.9		W	16-	10		0.150
4/04	at Chaparral, CO (10-7)	CO Contin	83.6		L	10-	12		-0.150
4/09	EVERGREEN (2-10)	CO Jeffco	69.4		W	16-	4		0.000
4/11	THUNDERRIDGE (4-11)	CO Contin	75.7		W	14-	7		0.125
4/14	at Arapahoe (15-3)	CO Contin	86.4	4	L	8-	15		-0.050
4/18	DOUGLAS COUNTY (3-10)	CO Contin	72.5		L	7-	8		-0.450
4/20	MULLEN (11-5)	CO Centen	84.7	7	L	5-	9		-0.200
4/21	at Rangeview (0-10)	CO Contin	58.9		W	21-	2		0.000
4/26	at Green Mountain (8-6)	CO Jeffco	81.2		W	16-	8		0.250
4/27	at Kent Denver (15-2)	CO Metro	90.0	2	L	1-	18		0.000
4/28	DENVER EAST (8-8)	CO Metro	84.3	8	L	10-	22		-0.175
4/30	at Cherry Creek Club (9-4)	CO Indep	83.5		W	13-	9		0.300
5/04	at Kent Denver (15-2)	CO Metro	90.0	2	L	5-	19		0.000
			75.6						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	A	Smoky Hill	8-	10	-2	-5	+	1.27	2.98
3/12	H	Cheyenne Mountain	16-	13	3	2		-1.27	1.15
3/14	A	Heritage-Littleton	4-	13	-9	-4	––	1.27	-4.88
4/02	A	Grandview	16-	10	6	4	+	1.27	2.28
4/04	A	Chaparral, CO	10-	12	-2	-4		1.27	1.55
4/09	H	Evergreen	16-	4	12	11		-1.27	1.40
4/11	H	ThunderRidge	14-	7	7	5		-1.27	1.54
4/14	A	Arapahoe	8-	15	-7	-8		1.27	0.53
4/18	H	Douglas County	7-	8	-1	8	–––	-1.27	-9.22
4/20	H	Mullen	5-	9	-4	-2	–	-1.27	-2.11
4/21	A	Rangeview	21-	2	19	18		1.27	0.65
4/26	A	Green Mountain	16-	8	8	0	+++	1.27	8.50
4/27	A	Kent Denver	1-	18	-17	-15	–	1.27	-2.21
4/28	H	Denver East	10-	22	-12	-3	–––	-1.27	-9.43
4/30	A	Cherry Creek Club	13-	9	4	-2	+++	1.27	6.49
5/04	A	Kent Denver	5-	19	-14	-15		1.27	0.79
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Evergreen	16-	4	-1.40
4/21	A	Rangeview	21-	2	-0.65
4/27	A	Kent Denver	1-	18	2.21
4/28	H	Denver East	10-	22	2.00
5/04	A	Kent Denver	5-	19	-0.79
10-goal correction: 0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	299
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.47		Natl Power Rank	299
Natl SOS Rating	64.92		Natl SOS Rank	707
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1458
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1078
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3


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