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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Reservoir 'Gators (1-9)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Marty Conway

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/23	LIBERTY, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	85.0		L	3-	13		0.000
3/30	RIVER HILL (7-6)	MD 3A	79.0		L	5-	19		-0.025
3/31	at Howard (4-10)	MD 2A	69.3		L	8-	10		-0.225
4/10	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		L	15-	16		-0.175
4/17	at Howard (4-10)	MD 2A	69.3		W	15-	13		0.275
4/20	CENTENNIAL, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		L	4-	19		0.000
4/24	OAKLAND MILLS (4-9)	MD 1A	71.0		L	7-	9		-0.225
5/03	MT. HEBRON (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9	1	L	1-	26		0.000
5/07	at Glenelg HS (15-3)	MD 2A	90.3	5	L	1-	22		0.000
5/08	at Marriotts Ridge (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		L	5-	20		0.000
			82.2						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Liberty, MD	3-	13	-10	-14	+	-1.20	3.57
3/30	H	River Hill	5-	19	-14	-9	––	-1.20	-5.23
3/31	A	Howard	8-	10	-2	-1		1.20	-0.67
4/10	A	Wilde Lake	15-	16	-1	-3	+	1.20	2.28
4/17	A	Howard	15-	13	2	-1	+	1.20	3.33
4/20	H	Centennial, MD	4-	19	-15	-15		-1.20	0.11
4/24	H	Oakland Mills	7-	9	-2	-1		-1.20	-0.81
5/03	H	Mt. Hebron	1-	26	-25	-26		-1.20	0.70
5/07	A	Glenelg HS	1-	22	-21	-22		1.20	0.67
5/08	A	Marriotts Ridge	5-	20	-15	-11	–	1.20	-3.95
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Liberty, MD	3-	13	-3.57
3/30	H	River Hill	5-	19	4.00
4/20	H	Centennial, MD	4-	19	-0.11
5/03	H	Mt. Hebron	1-	26	-0.70
5/07	A	Glenelg HS	1-	22	-0.67
5/08	A	Marriotts Ridge	5-	20	3.95
10-goal correction: 0.29

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1349
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.40		Natl Power Rank	1349
Natl SOS Rating	76.92		Natl SOS Rank	148
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	1594
W-L Pct Rating	0.10		W-L Pct Rank	1784
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-10.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-23.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-23.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-17.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-20.3

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