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Ridgefield Tigers (11-7)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Molly Lenseth

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Fairfield Warde (4-11)	CT Div 1	77.9		W	11-	9		0.225
4/07	MASUK (5-11)	CT Div 1	72.6		W	16-	6		0.000
4/10	WILTON (17-4)	CT Div 1	88.7	2	L	5-	16		-0.025
4/12	ST. JOSEPH, CT (7-9)	CT Div 2	78.6		W	15-	8		0.175
4/17	DANBURY (7-9)	CT Div 2	78.4		L	11-	12		-0.325
4/21	at Norwalk (4-11)	CT Div 2	74.5		W	15-	6		0.075
4/24	at Trumbull (3-13)	CT Div 2	76.1		W	12-	11		0.150
4/27	NEW CANAAN (12-6)	CT Div 1	83.5	7	W	10-	8		0.300
5/01	at New Milford (11-8)	CT Div 2	77.6		W	14-	11		0.150
5/03	GREENWICH HS (15-5)	CT Div 1	88.5	3	L	4-	15		-0.025
5/05	AMITY (11-8)	CT Div 2	78.9		W	8-	7		0.175
5/08	at Fairfield Ludlowe (10-8)	CT Div 2	79.2		L	12-	13		-0.300
5/10	STAPLES (7-9)	CT Div 2	77.0		W	13-	7		0.125
5/12	at Joel Barlow (13-7)	CT Div 1	79.8		L	7-	8		-0.300
5/19	at Brien McMahon (14-7)	CT Div 2	81.4		L	15-	16		-0.225
5/22	NEW FAIRFIELD (10-8)	CT Div 1	78.1		W	15-	3		0.150
6/04	FARMINGTON (9-7)	CT Div 2	74.4		W	19-	7		0.000
6/06	at Brookfield, CT (19-3)	CT Div 2	82.1		L	17-	18		-0.225
			77.0						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Fairfield Warde	11-	9	2	1		0.72	1.15
4/07	H	Masuk	16-	6	10	11		-0.72	-1.32
4/10	H	Wilton	5-	16	-11	-9		-0.72	-1.98
4/12	H	St. Joseph, CT	15-	8	7	3	+	-0.72	3.59
4/17	H	Danbury	11-	12	-1	3	––	-0.72	-4.33
4/21	A	Norwalk	15-	6	9	7	+	0.72	2.10
4/24	A	Trumbull	12-	11	1	4	–	0.72	-2.89
4/27	H	New Canaan	10-	8	2	-2	++	-0.72	4.26
5/01	A	New Milford	14-	11	3	4		0.72	-1.23
5/03	H	Greenwich HS	4-	15	-11	-9	–	-0.72	-2.43
5/05	H	Amity	8-	7	1	3	–	-0.72	-2.26
5/08	A	Fairfield Ludlowe	12-	13	-1	2	–	0.72	-2.65
5/10	H	Staples	13-	7	6	5		-0.72	0.60
5/12	A	Joel Barlow	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.72	-2.56
5/19	A	Brien McMahon	15-	16	-1	-1		0.72	-0.07
5/22	H	New Fairfield	15-	3	12	4	+++	-0.72	8.16
6/04	H	Farmington	19-	7	12	10		-0.72	1.75
6/06	A	Brookfield, CT	17-	18	-1	-1		0.72	0.13
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Masuk	16-	6	1.32
4/10	H	Wilton	5-	16	1.00
5/03	H	Greenwich HS	4-	15	1.00
5/22	H	New Fairfield	15-	3	-2.00
6/04	H	Farmington	19-	7	-1.75
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	325
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.14		Natl Power Rank	325
Natl SOS Rating	66.68		Natl SOS Rank	607
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	820
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	649
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.7


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