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River Hill Hawks (7-6)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Jay Bond

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at Mt. Hebron (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9	1	L	3-	23		0.000
3/30	at Reservoir (1-9)	MD 2A	68.4		W	19-	5		0.025
4/10	ATHOLTON (5-7)	MD 2A	73.7		W	11-	7		0.100
4/12	at Arundel (7-5)	MD 4A	80.9		L	10-	14		-0.150
4/13	at Oakland Mills (4-9)	MD 1A	71.0		W	17-	6		0.100
4/17	at Centennial, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		L	8-	16		-0.050
4/20	HAMMOND (5-7)	MD 2A	72.8		W	16-	9		0.075
4/21	at St. Paul's SG, MD (10-8)	MD IAAM A	92.2		L	6-	12		0.000
4/24	LONG REACH (1-10)	MD 3A	64.2		W	15-	5		0.000
4/27	GLENELG HS (15-3)	MD 2A	90.3	5	L	8-	16		-0.025
5/01	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		W	20-	10		0.075
5/04	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		W	13-	11		0.225
5/14	at Mt. Hebron (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9	1	L	1-	26		0.000
			83.2						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Mt. Hebron	3-	23	-20	-18		1.20	-1.87
3/30	A	Reservoir	19-	5	14	9	++	1.20	5.23
4/10	H	Atholton	11-	7	4	6		-1.20	-1.67
4/12	A	Arundel	10-	14	-4	-4		1.20	0.06
4/13	A	Oakland Mills	17-	6	11	6	++	1.20	4.62
4/17	A	Centennial, MD	8-	16	-8	-8		1.20	-0.46
4/20	H	Hammond	16-	9	7	7		-1.20	0.14
4/21	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	6-	12	-6	-14	+++	1.03		8.19
4/24	H	Long Reach	15-	5	10	14	––	-1.20	-4.49
4/27	H	Glenelg HS	8-	16	-8	-9		-1.20	1.31
5/01	A	Wilde Lake	20-	10	10	7	+	1.20	3.32
5/04	H	Marriotts Ridge	13-	11	2	1		-1.20	0.69
5/14	A	Mt. Hebron	1-	26	-25	-18	–––	1.20	-6.87
									0.00	8.19

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Mt. Hebron	3-	23	1.87
3/30	A	Reservoir	19-	5	-4.00
4/13	A	Oakland Mills	17-	6	-1.00
4/24	H	Long Reach	15-	5	4.49
5/01	A	Wilde Lake	20-	10	0.00
5/14	A	Mt. Hebron	1-	26	6.87
10-goal correction: 0.63

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	462
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.04		Natl Power Rank	462
Natl SOS Rating	78.63		Natl SOS Rank	117
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	544
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	837
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-17.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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