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Roswell Hornets (10-6)

Region: GA A6

State: GA

Coach: Travis Carr

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/22	SPRAYBERRY (7-10)	GA A7	71.1		W	14-	4		0.075
2/27	at Kell (10-7)	GA A7	73.1		W	16-	3		0.175
3/03	at Gainesville (0-12)	GA A6	57.0		W	21-	0		0.000
3/06	at North Springs (10-6)	GA A3	75.7		W	11-	10		0.275
3/08	RIVERWOOD (4-10)	GA A3	72.4		W	12-	9		0.125
3/10	CENTENNIAL, GA (10-7)	GA A4	78.6	6	L	3-	17		-0.150
3/13	NORTHVIEW, GA (17-2)	GA A4	81.7	2	L	10-	14		-0.125
3/16	MILTON, GA (20-1)	GA A6	86.1	1	L	5-	13		-0.050
3/23	WALTON (8-7)	GA A8	77.6	7	W	8-	7		0.325
3/27	at South Forsyth (5-12)	GA A6	72.5		L	10-	11		-0.300
4/12	POPE (8-7)	GA A8	71.5		W	17-	15		0.075
4/13	DARLINGTON (4-8)	GA A5	70.6		W	17-	5		0.050
4/18	at Lovett (11-5)	GA A8	79.1	5	L	9-	14		-0.100
4/19	NORTH FORSYTH (2-12)	GA A6	59.4		W	21-	0		0.000
4/21	ALPHARETTA (4-9)	GA A4	71.5		W	13-	10		0.100
4/24	at Lassiter (13-5)	GA A7	77.5	8	L	10-	19		-0.150
			74.4						0.32

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/22	H	Sprayberry	14-	4	10	7	+	-1.45	2.87
2/27	A	Kell	16-	3	13	3	+++	1.45	10.29
3/03	A	Gainesville	21-	0	21	18	+	1.45	2.95
3/06	A	North Springs	11-	10	1	-1		1.45	1.58
3/08	H	Riverwood	12-	9	3	5		-1.45	-1.52
3/10	H	Centennial, GA	3-	17	-14	-4	–––	-1.45	10.50
3/13	H	Northview, GA	10-	14	-4	-5		-1.45	1.18
3/16	H	Milton, GA	5-	13	-8	-8		-1.45	-0.39
3/23	H	Walton	8-	7	1	-3	+	-1.45	3.50
3/27	A	South Forsyth	10-	11	-1	2	–	1.45	-2.96
4/12	H	Pope	17-	15	2	7	––	-1.45	-5.33
4/13	H	Darlington	17-	5	12	8	++	-1.45	4.01
4/18	A	Lovett	9-	14	-5	-6		1.45	0.77
4/19	H	North Forsyth	21-	0	21	20		-1.45	0.91
4/21	H	Alpharetta	13-	10	3	6	–	-1.45	-2.84
4/24	A	Lassiter	10-	19	-9	-4	––	1.45	-4.53
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/22	H	Sprayberry	14-	4	0.00
2/27	A	Kell	16-	3	-3.00
3/03	A	Gainesville	21-	0	-2.95
3/10	H	Centennial, GA	3-	17	4.00
4/13	H	Darlington	17-	5	-2.00
4/19	H	North Forsyth	21-	0	-0.91
10-goal correction: -0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	740
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.94		Natl Power Rank	740
Natl SOS Rating	62.98		Natl SOS Rank	837
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.32		Natl Quality Win Rank	602
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	609
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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