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Southern, Anne Arundel Bulldogs (5-9)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Arvak Marshall

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Broadneck (13-3)	MD 4A	89.7	6	L	4-	15		0.000
3/23	OLD MILL (8-8)	MD 4A	76.0		L	11-	12		-0.275
3/27	SOUTH RIVER (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	L	3-	17		-0.075
3/30	at Northeast (2-11)	MD 3A	69.5		W	12-	8		0.125
4/05	vs. Old Mill # (8-8)	MD 4A	76.0		L	6-	8		-0.250
4/07	vs. Fallston # (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		L	8-	14		-0.075
4/10	MEADE (0-12)	MD 4A	64.7		W	19-	4		0.000
4/13	NORTHERN-CALVERT (8-6)	MD 3A	72.6		W	11-	5		0.125
4/17	at North County (2-11)	MD 4A	66.9		W	17-	3		0.050
4/20	ANNAPOLIS (8-7)	MD 3A	81.0		L	6-	12		-0.150
4/24	GLEN BURNIE (3-9)	MD 4A	70.1		W	20-	6		0.050
4/27	at Severna Park (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	4-	23		0.000
5/01	at Chesapeake, AA County (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		L	4-	10		-0.125
5/03	ARUNDEL (7-5)	MD 4A	80.9			-
5/12	at Parkside (4-4)	MD 2A	75.1		L	7-	8		-0.275
# Neutral site			80.9						-0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Broadneck	4-	15	-11	-12		1.20	1.01
3/23	H	Old Mill	11-	12	-1	1	–	-1.20	-2.28
3/27	H	South River	3-	17	-14	-7	–––	-1.20	-6.53
3/30	A	Northeast	12-	8	4	5		1.20	-0.59
4/05	N	Old Mill	6-	8	-2	0	–	0.00	-2.08
4/07	N	Fallston	8-	14	-6	-7		0.00	1.12
4/10	H	Meade	19-	4	15	12	+	-1.20	3.16
4/13	H	Northern-Calvert	11-	5	6	5		-1.20	0.50
4/17	A	North County	17-	3	14	8	+++	1.20	6.39
4/20	H	Annapolis	6-	12	-6	-4		-1.20	-1.94
4/24	H	Glen Burnie	20-	6	14	8	++	-1.20	5.66
4/27	A	Severna Park	4-	23	-19	-17	–	1.20	-2.22
5/01	A	Chesapeake, AA County	4-	10	-6	-5		1.20	-0.52
5/12	A	Parkside	7-	8	-1	1		1.20	-1.68
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	A	Broadneck	4-	15	-1.01
3/27	H	South River	3-	17	4.00
4/10	H	Meade	19-	4	-3.16
4/17	A	North County	17-	3	-4.00
4/24	H	Glen Burnie	20-	6	-4.00
4/27	A	Severna Park	4-	23	2.22
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	839
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.90		Natl Power Rank	839
Natl SOS Rating	74.32		Natl SOS Rank	222
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	2007
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1264
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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