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St. Anne's-Belfield Saints (15-6)

Region: VA LIS

State: VA

Coach: Mary Blake

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	vs. Westminster School, GA # (17-3)	GA A3	81.2		W	14-	10		0.175
3/13	at St. Gertrude's (0-14)	VA LIS	68.8		W	19-	2		0.000
3/20	at Albemarle (9-9)	VA NW AAA	75.3		W	10-	6		0.100
3/22	CHARLOTTESVILLE (2-6)	VA NW AA	70.1		W	18-	3		0.000
3/23	BISHOP O'CONNELL (8-9)	DC WCAC	81.4		W	17-	12		0.150
3/27	COLLEGIATE SCHOOL (18-4)	VA LIS	90.4	2	L	13-	20		-0.225
3/30	at Norfolk Academy (5-9)	VA LIS	72.8		W	15-	4		0.050
3/31	COLORADO ACADEMY (10-5)	CO Metro	86.7		L	11-	12		-0.225
3/31	WESTFIELD, VA (7-7)	VA Cncrd	78.1		W	10-	5		0.100
4/05	ST. CATHERINE'S SCHOOL (10-7)	VA LIS	82.3		W	19-	12		0.175
4/10	WESTERN ALBEMARLE (13-3)	VA NW AA	77.8		W	18-	6		0.075
4/13	CAPE HENRY COLLEGIATE (14-2)	VA TCIS	84.1	5	W	15-	9		0.150
4/18	ST. GERTRUDE'S (0-14)	VA LIS	68.8		W	18-	0		0.000
4/20	NORFOLK ACADEMY (5-9)	VA LIS	72.8		W	21-	8		0.000
4/24	at St. Catherine's School (10-7)	VA LIS	82.3		W	13-	12		0.225
4/27	at Collegiate School (18-4)	VA LIS	90.4	2	L	9-	16		-0.175
4/28	POTOMAC SCHOOL (13-8)	DC ISL A	83.3		L	9-	12		-0.325
5/04	at Bishop Ireton (13-9)	DC WCAC	84.3		W	9-	7		0.275
5/08	ST. CATHERINE'S SCHOOL (10-7)	VA LIS	82.3		L	9-	10	ot	-0.325
5/15	BISHOP O'CONNELL (8-9)	DC WCAC	81.4		W	18-	16		0.150
5/18	vs. Collegiate School # (18-4)	VA LIS	90.4	2	L	9-	14		-0.200
# Neutral site			82.1						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	N	Westminster School, GA	14-	10	4	3		0.00		0.62
3/13	A	St. Gertrude's	19-	2	17	15		1.07	1.77
3/20	A	Albemarle	10-	6	4	6		1.07	-1.90
3/22	H	Charlottesville	18-	3	15	14		-1.07	1.19
3/23	H	Bishop O'Connell	17-	12	5	4		-1.27		0.55
3/27	H	Collegiate School	13-	20	-7	-1	–––	-1.07	-6.31
3/30	A	Norfolk Academy	15-	4	11	8	+	1.07	2.55
3/31	H	Colorado Academy	11-	12	-1	-1		-1.17		-0.06
3/31	H	Westfield, VA	10-	5	5	6		-1.07	-0.92
4/05	H	St. Catherine's School	19-	12	7	3	++	-1.07	4.33
4/10	H	Western Albemarle	18-	6	12	7	++	-1.07	4.55
4/13	H	Cape Henry Collegiate	15-	9	6	4	+	-1.07	2.29
4/18	H	St. Gertrude's	18-	0	18	17		-1.07	0.64
4/20	H	Norfolk Academy	21-	8	13	11	+	-1.07	2.42
4/24	A	St. Catherine's School	13-	12	1	1		1.07	0.46
4/27	A	Collegiate School	9-	16	-7	-3	––	1.07	-4.18
4/28	H	Potomac School	9-	12	-3	3	––	-1.27		-5.52
5/04	A	Bishop Ireton	9-	7	2	-1	+	1.27		3.00
5/08	H	St. Catherine's School	9-	10	-1	3	–	-1.07	-3.67
5/15	H	Bishop O'Connell	18-	16	2	4	–	-1.27		-2.45
5/18	N	Collegiate School	9-	14	-5	-2	–	0.00	-3.24
									0.00	-3.87

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	A	St. Gertrude's	19-	2	-1.77
3/22	H	Charlottesville	18-	3	-1.19
3/30	A	Norfolk Academy	15-	4	-1.00
4/10	H	Western Albemarle	18-	6	-2.00
4/18	H	St. Gertrude's	18-	0	-0.64
4/20	H	Norfolk Academy	21-	8	-2.42
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	174
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.56		Natl Power Rank	174
Natl SOS Rating	75.80		Natl SOS Rank	175
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	782
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	413
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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