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Sayville Golden Flashes (12-6)

Conference: L2

Region: NY B Sec 11

State: NY

Coach: Gary Jensen

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	at Patchogue-Medford (5-11)	NY A Sec 11	73.4			-
3/16	LONGWOOD (5-9)	NY A Sec 11	78.1			-
3/24	at Friends Academy (10-8)	NY C Sec 8	86.2		W	14-	7		0.200
3/27	EAST ISLIP (13-5)	NY A Sec 11	91.3	5	L	10-	12		-0.175
4/10	at Westhampton Beach (5-11)	NY C Sec 11	74.3		W	17-	2		0.000
4/12	DEER PARK (8-9)	NY B Sec 11	81.7		W	13-	6		0.075
4/16	ISLIP (5-8)	NY B Sec 11	80.0		W	12-	4		0.050
4/18	HAUPPAUGE (13-5)	NY B Sec 11	88.6		L	8-	13		-0.275
4/20	at Mt. Sinai (7-9)	NY C Sec 11	82.6		W	14-	11		0.150
4/24	HUNTINGTON (14-6)	NY B Sec 11	89.6	7	L	12-	14		-0.225
4/26	COMSEWOGUE (9-8)	NY B Sec 11	84.2		W	13-	8		0.125
4/30	at Shoreham-Wading River (19-3)	NY C Sec 11	92.9	2	L	9-	18		-0.125
5/02	at Bayport-Blue Point (9-8)	NY C Sec 11	79.9		W	13-	4		0.075
5/04	at Rocky Point (19-1)	NY B Sec 11	93.8	1	L	3-	16		-0.025
5/10	SMITHTOWN WEST (8-8)	NY B Sec 11	81.4		W	18-	11		0.075
5/14	HARBORFIELDS (10-8)	NY B Sec 11	81.5		W	18-	5		0.050
5/16	at Eastport-South Manor (8-7)	NY B Sec 11	84.8		W	17-	15		0.175
5/18	at Kings Park (10-6)	NY B Sec 11	85.8		W	17-	8		0.200
5/21	EASTPORT-SOUTH MANOR (8-7)	NY B Sec 11	84.8		W	10-	6		0.150
5/23	at Huntington (14-6)	NY B Sec 11	89.6	7	L	14-	16		-0.200
			82.3						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Friends Academy	14-	7	7	2	++	0.71		5.30
3/27	H	East Islip	10-	12	-2	-3		-0.81	1.14
4/10	A	Westhampton Beach	17-	2	15	11	+	0.81	3.83
4/12	H	Deer Park	13-	6	7	7		-0.81	0.03
4/16	H	Islip	12-	4	8	8		-0.81	-0.02
4/18	H	Hauppauge	8-	13	-5	1	–––	-0.81	-6.43
4/20	A	Mt. Sinai	14-	11	3	4		0.81	-1.21
4/24	H	Huntington	12-	14	-2	-1		-0.81	-1.47
4/26	H	Comsewogue	13-	8	5	5		-0.81	-0.05
4/30	A	Shoreham-Wading River	9-	18	-9	-5	–	0.81	-3.93
5/02	A	Bayport-Blue Point	13-	4	9	7		0.81	1.71
5/04	A	Rocky Point	3-	16	-13	-9	––	0.81	-4.36
5/10	H	Smithtown West	18-	11	7	7		-0.81	-0.14
5/14	H	Harborfields	18-	5	13	8	++	-0.81	5.11
5/16	A	Eastport-South Manor	17-	15	2	3		0.81	-0.70
5/18	A	Kings Park	17-	8	9	2	+++	0.81	6.67
5/21	H	Eastport-South Manor	10-	6	4	4		-0.81	-0.31
5/23	A	Huntington	14-	16	-2	-2		0.81	0.15
									0.00	5.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Westhampton Beach	17-	2	-3.83
5/04	A	Rocky Point	3-	16	3.00
5/14	H	Harborfields	18-	5	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	87
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.65		Natl Power Rank	81
Natl SOS Rating	75.95		Natl SOS Rank	172
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	617
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	522
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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