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Southeast Guilford Falcons (2-16)

Region: NC W Cen

State: NC

Coach: Kelley Routh

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	5-	18		0.000
2/28	WESTERN GUILFORD (14-5)	NC W Cen	74.2	7	L	3-	12		-0.025
3/05	GRIMSLEY (10-6)	NC W Cen	69.0		L	5-	12		-0.150
3/06	W.H. PAGE (4-10)	NC W Cen	66.8		L	4-	5		-0.225
3/08	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	L	7-	14		-0.050
3/12	at West Forsyth (1-15)	NC W Cen	65.8		W	16-	6		0.250
3/13	at Chapel Hill (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	L	2-	12		0.000
3/22	at Northwest Guilford (9-5)	NC W Cen	69.0		L	7-	14		-0.125
3/27	at Ragsdale (9-5)	NC W Cen	70.2		L	7-	15		-0.100
3/28	at East Chapel Hill (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	3-	14		0.000
4/10	WEST FORSYTH (1-15)	NC W Cen	65.8		W	8-	7		0.225
4/14	GREEN HOPE (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	6-	18		0.000
4/16	at Grimsley (10-6)	NC W Cen	69.0		L	9-	14		-0.125
4/17	NORTHWEST GUILFORD (9-5)	NC W Cen	69.0		L	11-	14		-0.150
4/18	RAGSDALE (9-5)	NC W Cen	70.2		L	7-	11		-0.125
4/23	at W.H. Page (4-10)	NC W Cen	66.8		L	6-	11		-0.175
4/24	at Western Guilford (14-5)	NC W Cen	74.2	7	L	1-	21		0.000
4/28	at Greensboro Day School (14-4)	NC W Cen	73.4	8	L	6-	15		-0.025
			72.5						-0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Apex	5-	18	-13	-15	+	0.75	2.21
2/28	H	Western Guilford	3-	12	-9	-9		-0.75	0.31
3/05	H	Grimsley	5-	12	-7	-4	–	-0.75	-3.18
3/06	H	W.H. Page	4-	5	-1	-1		-0.75	0.05
3/08	H	Durham Academy	7-	14	-7	-8		-0.75	1.09
3/12	A	West Forsyth	16-	6	10	0	+++	0.75	10.48
3/13	A	Chapel Hill	2-	12	-10	-10		0.75	-0.34
3/22	A	Northwest Guilford	7-	14	-7	-5		0.75	-1.93
3/27	A	Ragsdale	7-	15	-8	-6		0.75	-1.80
3/28	A	East Chapel Hill	3-	14	-11	-14	+	0.75	3.48
4/10	H	West Forsyth	8-	7	1	1		-0.75	-0.01
4/14	H	Green Hope	6-	18	-12	-11		-0.75	-0.67
4/16	A	Grimsley	9-	14	-5	-5		0.75	0.31
4/17	H	Northwest Guilford	11-	14	-3	-4		-0.75	0.58
4/18	H	Ragsdale	7-	11	-4	-5		-0.75	0.71
4/23	A	W.H. Page	6-	11	-5	-3	–	0.75	-2.46
4/24	A	Western Guilford	1-	21	-20	-11	–––	0.75	-9.20
4/28	A	Greensboro Day School	6-	15	-9	-9		0.75	0.37
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	A	Apex	5-	18	-2.21
3/12	A	West Forsyth	16-	6	0.00
3/13	A	Chapel Hill	2-	12	0.00
3/28	A	East Chapel Hill	3-	14	-3.48
4/14	H	Green Hope	6-	18	0.67
4/24	A	Western Guilford	1-	21	9.20
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1505
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.33		Natl Power Rank	1505
Natl SOS Rating	59.11		Natl SOS Rank	1146
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	1970
W-L Pct Rating	0.11		W-L Pct Rank	1772
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-14		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-11.3


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