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Serra Conquistadors (2-12)

Region: CA CIF S

State: CA

Coach: Laurie Berger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/09	at Fallbrook (2-15)	CA CIF S	58.2		L	1-	8		-0.150
3/13	SANTANA (6-8)	CA CIF S	57.6		W	13-	7		0.225
3/14	at Grossmont (1-13)	CA CIF S	55.5		W	8-	6		0.200
3/20	CATHEDRAL CATHOLIC (11-8)	CA CIF S	64.3		L	6-	10		-0.150
3/23	at Coronado (17-4)	CA CIF S	79.9	3	L	1-	18		0.000
3/29	at Patrick Henry, CA (8-11)	CA CIF S	61.6		L	2-	10		-0.125
3/30	SCRIPPS RANCH (8-9)	CA CIF S	63.4		L	3-	12		-0.175
4/10	BISHOP'S SCHOOL (11-7)	CA CIF S	63.8		L	5-	7		-0.175
4/17	LA JOLLA HS (19-5)	CA CIF S	77.6	4	L	2-	11		0.000
4/27	at Cathedral Catholic (11-8)	CA CIF S	64.3		L	5-	14		-0.075
5/01	at Scripps Ranch (8-9)	CA CIF S	63.4		L	8-	10		-0.100
5/04	CORONADO (17-4)	CA CIF S	79.9	3	L	3-	14		0.000
5/08	at La Jolla HS (19-5)	CA CIF S	77.6	4	L	1-	15		0.000
5/11	PATRICK HENRY, CA (8-11)	CA CIF S	61.6		L	7-	9		-0.200
			76.7						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/09	A	Fallbrook	1-	8	-7	-4	–	1.39	-2.80
3/13	H	Santana	13-	7	6	1	++	-1.39	4.67
3/14	A	Grossmont	8-	6	2	2		1.39	0.29
3/20	H	Cathedral Catholic	6-	10	-4	-4		-1.39	-0.12
3/23	A	Coronado	1-	18	-17	-15		1.39	-1.58
3/29	A	Patrick Henry, CA	2-	10	-8	-5	–	1.39	-3.09
3/30	H	Scripps Ranch	3-	12	-9	-3	––	-1.39	-5.57
4/10	H	Bishop's School	5-	7	-2	-3		-1.39	1.27
4/17	H	La Jolla HS	2-	11	-9	-12	+	-1.39	2.75
4/27	A	Cathedral Catholic	5-	14	-9	-7	–	1.39	-2.35
5/01	A	Scripps Ranch	8-	10	-2	-6	++	1.39	4.21
5/04	H	Coronado	3-	14	-11	-13		-1.39	1.65
5/08	A	La Jolla HS	1-	15	-14	-15		1.39	0.52
5/11	H	Patrick Henry, CA	7-	9	-2	-2		-1.39	0.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	A	Coronado	1-	18	1.58
5/04	H	Coronado	3-	14	-1.65
5/08	A	La Jolla HS	1-	15	-0.52
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	57.		Natl CCR Rank	1907
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	57.22		Natl Power Rank	1907
Natl SOS Rating	66.06		Natl SOS Rank	642
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	1922
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	1703
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.0


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