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Severn School Admirals (12-8)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: R. Sotiropoulos

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5		L	5-	11		-0.075
3/20	at Holton-Arms School (11-7)	DC ISL A	87.0		W	12-	5		0.100
3/22	at St. Paul's SG, MD (10-8)	MD IAAM A	93.1	6	W	12-	9	ot	0.225
3/26	BRYN MAWR SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.5	2	L	4-	8		-0.250
3/27	at Archbishop Spalding (5-13)	MD IAAM A	86.7		W	10-	5		0.125
3/29	MARYVALE PREP (5-10)	MD IAAM A	89.1		W	18-	9		0.125
4/03	at John Carroll School (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	6-	10		-0.225
4/05	vs. Broadneck # (13-3)	MD 4A	89.7		L	7-	14		-0.350
4/07	vs. Severna Park # (20-0)	MD 3A	96.4		L	11-	13		-0.175
4/10	MERCY, MD (5-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8		W	9-	2		0.100
4/12	at McDonogh School (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	5-	10		-0.150
4/13	at Annapolis (8-7)	MD 3A	81.1		W	14-	8		0.000
4/16	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (8-11)	MD IAAM A	92.3	8	W	12-	8		0.200
4/17	at Mt. de Sales Academy (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2	9	W	9-	8		0.200
4/19	SETON KEOUGH (7-9)	MD IAAM A	90.5	10	L	6-	7		-0.350
4/24	at Roland Park CS (9-7)	MD IAAM A	92.8	7	W	9-	8		0.225
4/30	vs. St. Mary's, MD # (11-11)	MD IAAM A	93.4	5	W	8-	7		0.225
5/04	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (5-13)	MD IAAM A	86.7		W	14-	9		0.075
5/10	at McDonogh School (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	W	10-	9		0.350
5/13	vs. John Carroll School # (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	9-	10	ot	-0.250
# Neutral site			93.7						0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	5-	11	-6	-7		1.16		0.78
3/20	A	Holton-Arms School	12-	5	7	6		1.16		1.29
3/22	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	12-	9	3	1	+	0.86	2.12
3/26	H	Bryn Mawr SG	4-	8	-4	0	–	-0.86	-3.83
3/27	A	Archbishop Spalding	10-	5	5	5		0.86	0.08
3/29	H	Maryvale Prep	18-	9	9	5	++	-0.86	4.27
4/03	A	John Carroll School	6-	10	-4	-1	–	0.86	-2.76
4/05	N	Broadneck	7-	14	-7	4	–––	0.00		11.15
4/07	N	Severna Park	11-	13	-2	-3		0.00		0.55
4/10	H	Mercy, MD	9-	2	7	6		-0.86	1.08
4/12	A	McDonogh School	5-	10	-5	-4		0.86	-1.36
4/13	A	Annapolis	14-	8	6	12	––	1.03		-5.78
4/16	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	12-	8	4	2	+	-0.86	2.46
4/17	A	Mt. de Sales Academy	9-	8	1	2		0.86	-0.52
4/19	H	Seton Keough	6-	7	-1	4	––	-0.86	-4.72
4/24	A	Roland Park CS	9-	8	1	1		0.86	0.35
4/30	N	St. Mary's, MD	8-	7	1	1		0.00	0.47
5/04	H	Archbishop Spalding	14-	9	5	7		-0.86	-1.64
5/10	A	McDonogh School	10-	9	1	-4	++	0.86	4.64
5/13	N	John Carroll School	9-	10	-1	0		0.00	-0.62
									0.00	-14.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	191.		Natl CCR Rank	15
Natl Poll Vote	97.		Natl Poll Rank	19
Natl Power Rating	93.89		Natl Power Rank	13
Natl SOS Rating	98.94		Natl SOS Rank	3
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	804
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	680
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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