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South Forsyth War Eagles (5-12 - 1)

Region: GA A6

State: GA

Coach: Ken Moore

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/22	WESLEYAN SCHOOL (6-7)	GA A4	75.6		L	8-	11		-0.200
2/26	at Marist, GA (11-3)	GA A2	75.9		T	6-	6		0.000
3/03	ST. PIUS X (13-5)	GA A2	76.4	10	L	4-	7		-0.200
3/06	at Northview, GA (17-2)	GA A4	81.7	2	L	7-	9		0.000
3/13	LASSITER (13-5)	GA A7	77.5	8	L	8-	14		-0.125
3/22	MILTON, GA (20-1)	GA A6	86.1	1	L	7-	20		0.000
3/24	EASTSIDE (14-6)	SC Gville	73.6		W	10-	7		0.250
3/24	GREENVILLE HIGH ACAD (6-10)	SC Gville	64.4		W	16-	4		0.025
3/27	ROSWELL (10-6)	GA A6	75.9		W	11-	10		0.300
4/10	at Sprayberry (7-10)	GA A7	71.1		L	7-	9		-0.275
4/13	at Woodward Academy, GA (7-9)	GA A1	74.6		L	6-	11		-0.175
4/14	NORTH FORSYTH (2-12)	GA A6	59.4		W	16-	0		0.000
4/16	at Wesleyan School (6-7)	GA A4	75.6		L	10-	15		-0.150
4/20	CHATTAHOOCHEE (11-4)	GA A4	77.5	9	L	6-	8		-0.150
4/20	GAINESVILLE (0-12)	GA A6	57.0		W	1-	0		0.000
4/23	at Northview, GA (17-2)	GA A4	81.7	2	L	5-	15		0.000
4/27	NORTHVIEW, GA (17-2)	GA A4	81.7	2	L	4-	16		-0.025
5/02	at Marist, GA (11-3)	GA A2	75.9		L	4-	12		-0.175
			75.6						-0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/22	H	Wesleyan School	8-	11	-3	-2		-1.45	-1.43
2/26	A	Marist, GA	6-	6	0	-3	+	1.45	2.94
3/03	H	St. Pius X	4-	7	-3	-2		-1.45	-0.63
3/06	A	Northview, GA	7-	9	-2	-12	+++	1.45	9.51
3/13	H	Lassiter	8-	14	-6	-5		-1.45	-1.02
3/22	H	Milton, GA	7-	20	-13	-11		-1.45	-1.98
3/24	H	Eastside	10-	7	3	0	+	-0.73		3.36
3/24	H	Greenville High Acad	16-	4	12	9	+	-0.73		3.16
3/27	H	Roswell	11-	10	1	-2	+	-1.45	2.96
4/10	A	Sprayberry	7-	9	-2	1	–	1.45	-2.80
4/13	A	Woodward Academy, GA	6-	11	-5	-3		1.45	-1.83
4/14	H	North Forsyth	16-	0	16	17		-1.45	-0.67
4/16	A	Wesleyan School	10-	15	-5	-4		1.45	-0.52
4/20	H	Chattahoochee	6-	8	-2	-4	+	-1.45	2.41
4/23	A	Northview, GA	5-	15	-10	-12		1.45	1.51
4/27	H	Northview, GA	4-	16	-12	-9	–	-1.45	-3.40
5/02	A	Marist, GA	4-	12	-8	-3	––	1.45	-5.06
									0.00	6.52

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	Milton, GA	7-	20	1.98
3/24	H	Greenville High Acad	16-	4	-2.00
4/14	H	North Forsyth	16-	0	0.67
4/23	A	Northview, GA	5-	15	-1.51
4/27	H	Northview, GA	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	1017
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.46		Natl Power Rank	1017
Natl SOS Rating	64.85		Natl SOS Rank	715
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	2018
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1401
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.0


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