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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Smithtown East Bulls (8-11)

Conference: L2Region: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Ann Naughton

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/24at Comsewogue (9-8)NY B Sec 1184.2L4-11 -0.225  
3/26at Cold Spring Harbor (9-7)NY C Sec 882.5L7- 9 -0.250  
3/28at West Islip (12-6)NY A Sec 1188.6L5-13 -0.125  
4/09at Miller Place (2-12)NY B Sec 1169.0W13- 2 0.000  
4/11WARD MELVILLE (18-2)NY A Sec 1191.64L7-10 -0.075  
4/17at East Islip (13-5)NY A Sec 1191.35L8-15 -0.025  
4/19COMMACK (8-10)NY A Sec 1185.3L7-10 -0.225  
4/21BAY SHORE (13-6)NY A Sec 1190.36L9-16 -0.100  
4/23at Longwood (5-9)NY A Sec 1178.1W16- 8 0.125  
4/25CONNETQUOT (9-8)NY A Sec 1178.9W14- 7 0.100  
4/27WALT WHITMAN, NY (5-11)NY A Sec 1176.7W14- 6 0.075  
5/01at North Babylon (11-6)NY A Sec 1189.09L5-18 -0.100  
5/03MIDDLE COUNTRY (5-10)NY A Sec 1177.1W14- 4 0.075  
5/07at Patchogue-Medford (5-11)NY A Sec 1173.4W19-10 0.050  
5/09at Northport (17-3)NY A Sec 1192.83L7-16 0.000  
5/14COPIAGUE (1-16)NY A Sec 1165.5W16- 4 0.000  
5/15at Brentwood, NY (0-16)NY A Sec 1164.2W16- 2 0.000  
5/17at West Babylon (11-8)NY A Sec 1189.58L13-17 -0.100  
5/19at West Babylon (11-8)NY A Sec 1189.58L9-13 -0.100  
 80.6     -0.90  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/24AComsewogue4-11-7   -1       –––0.81       -6.10
3/26ACold Spring Harbor7-9-2   0       –0.71       -2.41
3/28AWest Islip5-13-8   -5       –0.81       -3.42
4/09AMiller Place13-211   11       0.81       -0.49
4/11HWard Melville7-10-3   -7       ++-0.81       4.15
4/17AEast Islip8-15-7   -9       +0.81       2.08
4/19HCommack7-10-3   -1       –-0.81       -2.43
4/21HBay Shore9-16-7   -6       -0.81       -0.73
4/23ALongwood16-88   5       +0.81       3.20
4/25HConnetquot14-77   6       -0.81       0.96
4/27HWalt Whitman, NY14-68   7       -0.81       0.83
5/01ANorth Babylon5-18-13   -6       –––0.81       -6.52
5/03HMiddle Country14-410   7       +-0.81       2.58
5/07APatchogue-Medford19-109   8       0.81       0.71
5/09ANorthport7-16-9   -12       +0.81       2.55
5/14HCopiague16-412   15       –-0.81       -2.60
5/15ABrentwood, NY16-214   14       0.81       0.33
5/17AWest Babylon13-17-4   -6       +0.81       2.44
5/19AWest Babylon9-13-4   -6       +0.81       2.44
         0.00-2.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09AMiller Place13-20.49
5/01ANorth Babylon5-183.00
5/03HMiddle Country14-40.00
5/14HCopiague16-42.60
5/15ABrentwood, NY16-2-0.33
10-goal correction: 0.30

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 84.   Natl CCR Rank 212
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 83.59   Natl Power Rank 212
Natl SOS Rating 73.38   Natl SOS Rank 259
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.90   Natl Quality Win Rank 2037
W-L Pct Rating 0.42   W-L Pct Rank 1141
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-11   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0

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