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2009
2008
2007
2006

South County Stallions (9-5)

Region: VA Pat

State: VA

Coach: Barbara Mahony

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/19	WASHINGTON-LEE (4-10)	VA Natl	69.4		W	14-	4		0.050
3/23	THOMAS ALVA EDISON (1-5)	VA Natl	68.1		W	11-	6		0.025
3/27	HAYFIELD (1-10)	VA Pat	67.9		W	17-	3		0.025
4/10	at Falls Church (7-7)	VA Natl	70.2		W	8-	7		0.200
4/18	at Robert E. Lee (6-6)	VA Pat	71.4		W	13-	10		0.225
4/24	at West Springfield, VA (17-1)	VA Pat	87.0	3	L	3-	16		0.000
4/25	WAKEFIELD HS, VA (0-13)	VA Natl	62.5		W	12-	3		0.000
4/29	T.C. WILLIAMS (8-7)	VA Pat	71.9		W	11-	7		0.200
4/30	at Lake Braddock (6-8)	VA Pat	75.2		L	5-	8		-0.125
5/02	WEST POTOMAC (3-12)	VA Pat	69.6		W	13-	1		0.100
5/03	ANNANDALE (12-6)	VA Pat	81.7		L	9-	19		-0.075
5/07	T.C. WILLIAMS (8-7)	VA Pat	71.9		W	13-	3		0.200
5/09	vs. West Springfield, VA # (17-1)	VA Pat	87.0	3	L	1-	17		0.000
5/15	at Oakton (17-1)	VA Cncrd	91.8	1	L	3-	20		0.000
# Neutral site			76.4						0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/19	H	Washington-Lee	14-	4	10	8	+	-1.07	2.27
3/23	H	Thomas Alva Edison	11-	6	5	9	––	-1.07	-4.28
3/27	H	Hayfield	17-	3	14	9	++	-1.07	4.68
4/10	A	Falls Church	8-	7	1	2		1.07	-1.18
4/18	A	Robert E. Lee	13-	10	3	1		1.07	1.96
4/24	A	West Springfield, VA	3-	16	-13	-11		1.07	-1.89
4/25	H	Wakefield HS, VA	12-	3	9	16	–––	-1.07	-7.42
4/29	H	T.C. Williams	11-	7	4	2		-1.07	1.53
4/30	A	Lake Braddock	5-	8	-3	-5		1.07	1.57
5/02	H	West Potomac	13-	1	12	6	++	-1.07	5.54
5/03	H	Annandale	9-	19	-10	-7	–	-1.07	-3.26
5/07	H	T.C. Williams	13-	3	10	2	+++	-1.07	7.53
5/09	N	West Springfield, VA	1-	17	-16	-10	––	0.00	-5.95
5/15	A	Oakton	3-	20	-17	-16		1.07	-1.10
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/19	H	Washington-Lee	14-	4	0.00
3/27	H	Hayfield	17-	3	-4.00
4/24	A	West Springfield, VA	3-	16	1.89
5/02	H	West Potomac	13-	1	-2.00
5/03	H	Annandale	9-	19	0.00
5/07	H	T.C. Williams	13-	3	0.00
5/09	N	West Springfield, VA	1-	17	6.00
5/15	A	Oakton	3-	20	1.10
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	943
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.42		Natl Power Rank	943
Natl SOS Rating	66.08		Natl SOS Rank	640
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	207
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	582
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7

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