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South Mecklenburg Sabres (2-15)

Region: NC SW

State: NC

Coach: Amy Steinmetz

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Providence HS, NC (15-10)	NC SW	70.7		L	2-	21		0.000
3/03	at Weddington (10-7)	NC SW	71.9		L	3-	12		0.000
3/05	MYERS PARK (18-6)	NC West	74.5	6	L	3-	12		0.000
3/07	at Ardrey Kell (4-14)	NC SW	65.2		W	9-	3		0.300
3/08	at Charlotte CDS (8-10)	NC West	67.0		L	2-	8		-0.125
3/12	HOPEWELL (11-7)	NC West	67.7		L	3-	14		-0.125
3/15	LAKE NORMAN CLUB (5-11)	NC West	66.8		L	3-	7		-0.175
3/19	NORTH MECKLENBURG (18-5)	NC West	76.1	4	L	2-	12		0.000
3/21	CHARLOTTE CATHOLIC (18-3)	NC SW	75.8	5	L	4-	17		0.000
3/28	CHARLOTTE LATIN SCHOOL (5-6)	NC SW	67.2		L	4-	9		-0.125
4/13	ARDREY KELL (4-14)	NC SW	65.2		L	3-	8		-0.250
4/17	vs. Lake Norman Club # (5-11)	NC West	66.8		L	5-	11		-0.150
4/18	PROVIDENCE HS, NC (15-10)	NC SW	70.7		L	2-	15		-0.025
4/21	at Charlotte Catholic (18-3)	NC SW	75.8	5	L	2-	13		0.000
4/23	WEDDINGTON (10-7)	NC SW	71.9		L	1-	11		-0.025
4/25	at Myers Park (18-6)	NC West	74.5	6	L	4-	13		0.000
4/28	at Providence CDS, NC (1-15)	NC SW	62.0			-
5/01	at Hopewell (11-7)	NC West	67.7		W	8-	7		0.425
# Neutral site			70.6						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Providence HS, NC	2-	21	-19	-10	–––	0.75	-8.69
3/03	A	Weddington	3-	12	-9	-11		0.75	1.55
3/05	H	Myers Park	3-	12	-9	-11	+	-0.75	2.49
3/07	A	Ardrey Kell	9-	3	6	-2	+++	0.75	7.78
3/08	A	Charlotte CDS	2-	8	-6	-5		0.75	-0.61
3/12	H	Hopewell	3-	14	-11	-5	––	-0.75	-5.77
3/15	H	Lake Norman Club	3-	7	-4	-3		-0.75	-0.77
3/19	H	North Mecklenburg	2-	12	-10	-13	+	-0.75	2.59
3/21	H	Charlotte Catholic	4-	17	-13	-12		-0.75	-0.74
3/28	H	Charlotte Latin School	4-	9	-5	-5		-0.75	-0.41
4/13	H	Ardrey Kell	3-	8	-5	0	––	-0.75	-4.71
4/17	N	Lake Norman Club	5-	11	-6	-4	–	0.00	-2.03
4/18	H	Providence HS, NC	2-	15	-13	-9	––	-0.75	-4.19
4/21	A	Charlotte Catholic	2-	13	-11	-14	+	0.75	2.75
4/23	H	Weddington	1-	11	-10	-9		-0.75	-0.94
4/25	A	Myers Park	4-	13	-9	-13	+	0.75	3.99
5/01	A	Hopewell	8-	7	1	-7	+++	0.75	7.73
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	A	Providence HS, NC	2-	21	9.00
3/12	H	Hopewell	3-	14	1.00
3/19	H	North Mecklenburg	2-	12	-2.59
3/21	H	Charlotte Catholic	4-	17	0.74
4/18	H	Providence HS, NC	2-	15	3.00
4/21	A	Charlotte Catholic	2-	13	-2.75
4/23	H	Weddington	1-	11	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1648
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	63.98		Natl Power Rank	1648
Natl SOS Rating	56.34		Natl SOS Rank	1407
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1453
W-L Pct Rating	0.12		W-L Pct Rank	1755
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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