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St. Paul's SG, MD Gators (10-8)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Mitch Whiteley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (5-13)	MD IAAM A	86.7		W	6-	4		0.125
3/22	SEVERN SCHOOL (12-8)	MD IAAM A	93.9	4	L	9-	12	ot	-0.225
3/24	ROLAND PARK CS (9-7)	MD IAAM A	92.8	7	L	8-	11		-0.275
3/26	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	8-	10		-0.225
3/29	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	9-	10		-0.150
3/31	STS. STEPHEN'S & AGNES (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5		W	10-	9		0.375
4/03	at Maryvale Prep (5-10)	MD IAAM A	89.1		W	8-	6		0.225
4/05	at Bryn Mawr SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.5	2	L	7-	8		-0.150
4/07	vs. Mt. Hebron # (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9		L	6-	7		-0.100
4/10	MT. DE SALES ACADEMY (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2	9	L	8-	10		-0.300
4/12	at Mercy, MD (5-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8		W	9-	4		0.200
4/17	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (8-11)	MD IAAM A	92.3	8	W	10-	9		0.250
4/20	ST. MARY'S, MD (11-11)	MD IAAM A	93.4	5	W	11-	10		0.250
4/21	RIVER HILL (7-6)	MD 3A	79.0		W	12-	6		0.000
4/24	at Seton Keough (7-9)	MD IAAM A	90.5	10	W	8-	5		0.250
4/28	at Moorestown (23-3)	NJ BuCo	96.4		W	9-	8		0.375
5/04	MARYVALE PREP (5-10)	MD IAAM A	89.1		W	8-	6		0.175
5/08	at John Carroll School (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	7-	10		-0.175
# Neutral site			94.2						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Archbishop Spalding	6-	4	2	5	–	-0.86	-2.90
3/22	H	Severn School	9-	12	-3	-1	–	-0.86	-2.12
3/24	H	Roland Park CS	8-	11	-3	1	–	-0.86	-3.63
3/26	H	John Carroll School	8-	10	-2	-1		-0.86	-0.74
3/29	H	McDonogh School	9-	10	-1	-4	+	-0.86	2.66
3/31	H	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	10-	9	1	-5	+++	-1.16		6.23
4/03	A	Maryvale Prep	8-	6	2	1		0.86	0.74
4/05	A	Bryn Mawr SG	7-	8	-1	-4	+	0.86	2.63
4/07	N	Mt. Hebron	6-	7	-1	-6	++	0.00		4.80
4/10	H	Mt. de Sales Academy	8-	10	-2	2	–	-0.86	-3.50
4/12	A	Mercy, MD	9-	4	5	2	+	0.86	2.54
4/17	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	10-	9	1	0		-0.86	1.21
4/20	H	St. Mary's, MD	11-	10	1	0		-0.86	1.35
4/21	H	River Hill	12-	6	6	15	–––	-1.03		-9.08
4/24	A	Seton Keough	8-	5	3	0	+	0.86	2.74
4/28	A	Moorestown	9-	8	1	-5	++	1.24		5.54
5/04	H	Maryvale Prep	8-	6	2	3		-0.86	-0.98
5/08	A	John Carroll School	7-	10	-3	-3		0.86	-0.02
									0.00	7.49

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	190.		Natl CCR Rank	21
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	24
Natl Power Rating	93.10		Natl Power Rank	17
Natl SOS Rating	99.90		Natl SOS Rank	1
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	354
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	801
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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