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St. Bernard, CT Saints (6-9)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Stephen Moon

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	STONINGTON (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	10-	13		-0.150
4/10	at Woodstock Academy (3-7)	CT Div 2	68.4		L	7-	8		-0.300
4/10	at Worcester Academy, MA (4-7)	NE	71.6			-
4/12	WHEELER, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6		W	12-	6		0.125
4/16	EAST LYME (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	5-	18		0.000
4/18	at Ledyard (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	13-	8		0.200
4/23	FITCH (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		L	6-	10		-0.225
4/26	NORWICH FREE ACADEMY (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		L	5-	10		-0.225
4/30	at Stonington (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	5-	12		-0.100
5/03	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (3-7)	CT Div 2	68.4		W	11-	2		0.175
5/07	at Wheeler, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6			-
5/08	at East Lyme (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	4-	17		0.000
5/10	LEDYARD (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	11-	10		0.150
5/14	EAST CATHOLIC CLUB (4-11)	CT Div 2	66.8		W	11-	7		0.125
5/15	at Fitch (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		L	7-	9		-0.200
5/18	at Norwich Free Academy (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		L	7-	11		-0.175
5/19	at East Catholic Club (4-11)	CT Div 2	66.8		W	14-	5		0.150
			69.0						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	Stonington	10-	13	-3	-4		-0.72	1.38
4/10	A	Woodstock Academy	7-	8	-1	2	–	0.72	-2.94
4/12	H	Wheeler, CT	12-	6	6	5		-0.72	1.28
4/16	H	East Lyme	5-	18	-13	-12		-0.72	-1.00
4/18	A	Ledyard	13-	8	5	2	+	0.72	2.75
4/23	H	Fitch	6-	10	-4	-1	–	-0.72	-3.00
4/26	H	Norwich Free Academy	5-	10	-5	-1	–	-0.72	-3.65
4/30	A	Stonington	5-	12	-7	-6		0.72	-1.17
5/03	H	Woodstock Academy	11-	2	9	3	++	-0.72	5.61
5/08	A	East Lyme	4-	17	-13	-13		0.72	0.45
5/10	H	Ledyard	11-	10	1	4	–	-0.72	-2.70
5/14	H	East Catholic Club	11-	7	4	5		-0.72	-1.34
5/15	A	Fitch	7-	9	-2	-2		0.72	0.44
5/18	A	Norwich Free Academy	7-	11	-4	-3		0.72	-1.21
5/19	A	East Catholic Club	14-	5	9	4	++	0.72	5.10
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/16	H	East Lyme	5-	18	1.00
5/08	A	East Lyme	4-	17	-0.45
10-goal correction: 0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	1041
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.13		Natl Power Rank	1041
Natl SOS Rating	54.05		Natl SOS Rank	1612
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	1704
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1169
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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