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St. Mary's, MD Saints (11-11)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Sue Chittim

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	BRYN MAWR SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.5	2	L	5-	6		-0.225
3/22	at Archbishop Spalding (5-13)	MD IAAM A	86.7		W	14-	7		0.150
3/26	MARYVALE PREP (5-10)	MD IAAM A	89.1		W	9-	8		0.150
3/27	at John Carroll School (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	9-	10	ot	-0.200
3/29	MERCY, MD (5-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8		W	11-	7		0.125
3/31	TOWSON HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.6		L	11-	12	ot	-0.425
4/02	at McDonogh School (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	7-	9		-0.150
4/03	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (8-11)	MD IAAM A	92.3	8	W	12-	11		0.225
4/05	at Mt. de Sales Academy (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2	9	W	6-	5		0.225
4/09	CANANDAIGUA ACADEMY (16-4)	NY B Sec 5	89.3		L	12-	13		-0.375
4/11	vs. Vero Beach # (18-4)	FL South 4	90.7		W	14-	7		0.175
4/13	vs. West Genesee # (24-0)	NY A Sec 3	****		L	3-	10		0.000
4/14	vs. Conestoga # (11-9)	PA Centrl	89.3		W	12-	7		0.150
4/17	at Roland Park CS (9-7)	MD IAAM A	92.8	7	L	8-	9		-0.250
4/20	at St. Paul's SG, MD (10-8)	MD IAAM A	93.1	6	L	10-	11		-0.250
4/23	at Dulaney (13-3)	MD 4A	90.8		W	11-	10		0.200
4/25	SEVERNA PARK (20-0)	MD 3A	96.4		L	6-	9		-0.200
4/30	vs. Severn School # (12-8)	MD IAAM A	93.9	4	L	7-	8		-0.225
5/02	SETON KEOUGH (7-9)	MD IAAM A	90.5	10	W	8-	7	ot	0.175
5/04	MT. DE SALES ACADEMY (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2	9	W	12-	9	ot	0.175
5/08	at Bryn Mawr SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.5	2	W	11-	10	3ot	0.300
5/10	at John Carroll School (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	8-	9	2ot	-0.200
# Neutral site			93.9						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Bryn Mawr SG	5-	6	-1	-1		-0.86	-0.30
3/22	A	Archbishop Spalding	14-	7	7	4	+	0.86	2.61
3/26	H	Maryvale Prep	9-	8	1	4	–	-0.86	-3.20
3/27	A	John Carroll School	9-	10	-1	-2		0.86	0.77
3/29	H	Mercy, MD	11-	7	4	5		-0.86	-1.39
3/31	H	Towson HS	11-	12	-1	7	–––	-1.03		-7.80
4/02	A	McDonogh School	7-	9	-2	-4	+	0.86	2.17
4/03	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	12-	11	1	1		-0.86	-0.01
4/05	A	Mt. de Sales Academy	6-	5	1	1		0.86	0.01
4/09	H	Canandaigua Academy	12-	13	-1	5	–––	-0.94		-6.05
4/11	N	Vero Beach	14-	7	7	3	++	0.00		4.32
4/13	N	West Genesee	3-	10	-7	-10	+	0.00		2.64
4/14	N	Conestoga	12-	7	5	4		0.00		0.95
4/17	A	Roland Park CS	8-	9	-1	0		0.86	-1.12
4/20	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	10-	11	-1	0		0.86	-1.35
4/23	A	Dulaney	11-	10	1	2		1.03		-0.57
4/25	H	Severna Park	6-	9	-3	-2		-1.03		-0.95
4/30	N	Severn School	7-	8	-1	-1		0.00	-0.47
5/02	H	Seton Keough	8-	7	1	3	–	-0.86	-2.19
5/04	H	Mt. de Sales Academy	12-	9	3	3		-0.86	0.29
5/08	A	Bryn Mawr SG	11-	10	1	-2	+	0.86	3.42
5/10	A	John Carroll School	8-	9	-1	-2		0.86	0.77
									0.00	-7.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	190.		Natl CCR Rank	20
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	29
Natl Power Rating	93.36		Natl Power Rank	16
Natl SOS Rating	99.34		Natl SOS Rank	2
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	1675
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	914
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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