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Stonington Bears (15-3)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Jeff Mederios

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at St. Bernard, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	72.1		W	13-	10		0.150
4/10	FITCH (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	11-	6		0.150
4/11	at Ledyard (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	15-	7		0.075
4/23	NORWICH FREE ACADEMY (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		W	13-	7		0.150
4/25	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (3-7)	CT Div 2	68.4		W	13-	6		0.050
4/30	ST. BERNARD, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	72.1		W	12-	5		0.100
5/03	at Fitch (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	10-	8		0.175
5/04	at East Lyme (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	2-	16		-0.050
5/05	LEDYARD (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	17-	12		0.025
5/08	WHEELER, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6		W	20-	8		0.000
5/10	EAST LYME (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	5-	14		-0.075
5/12	at Woodstock Academy (3-7)	CT Div 2	68.4		W	18-	7		0.075
5/15	at Norwich Free Academy (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		W	12-	6		0.200
5/17	at Wheeler, CT (1-9)	CT Div 2	66.6		W	13-	11		0.050
5/18	at Worcester Academy, MA (4-7)	NE	71.6			-
5/25	VALLEY REGIONAL (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		W	18-	5		0.050
6/06	FITCH (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	9-	5		0.150
6/07	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (12-7)	CT Div 2	76.4		W	11-	6		0.200
6/09	vs. Brien McMahon # (14-7)	CT Div 2	81.4		L	6-	13		-0.100
# Neutral site			69.6						1.37

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	St. Bernard, CT	13-	10	3	4		0.72	-1.38
4/10	H	Fitch	11-	6	5	4		-0.72	0.89
4/11	A	Ledyard	15-	7	8	7		0.72	0.64
4/23	H	Norwich Free Academy	13-	7	6	4	+	-0.72	2.24
4/25	H	Woodstock Academy	13-	6	7	8		-0.72	-1.49
4/30	H	St. Bernard, CT	12-	5	7	6		-0.72	1.17
5/03	A	Fitch	10-	8	2	3		0.72	-0.67
5/04	A	East Lyme	2-	16	-14	-8	––	0.72	-5.66
5/05	H	Ledyard	17-	12	5	9	–	-0.72	-3.80
5/08	H	Wheeler, CT	20-	8	12	10	+	-0.72	2.18
5/10	H	East Lyme	5-	14	-9	-7	–	-0.72	-2.10
5/12	A	Woodstock Academy	18-	7	11	7	+	0.72	3.95
5/15	A	Norwich Free Academy	12-	6	6	2	+	0.72	3.68
5/17	A	Wheeler, CT	13-	11	2	8	–––	0.72	-6.38
5/25	H	Valley Regional	18-	5	13	8	++	-0.72	4.54
6/06	H	Fitch	9-	5	4	4		-0.72	-0.11
6/07	H	Northwest Catholic	11-	6	5	2	+	-0.72	3.26
6/09	N	Brien McMahon	6-	13	-7	-6		0.00	-0.96
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/04	A	East Lyme	2-	16	4.00
5/08	H	Wheeler, CT	20-	8	-2.18
5/12	A	Woodstock Academy	18-	7	-1.00
5/25	H	Valley Regional	18-	5	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	596
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.48		Natl Power Rank	596
Natl SOS Rating	54.95		Natl SOS Rank	1538
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.37		Natl Quality Win Rank	65
W-L Pct Rating	0.83		W-L Pct Rank	171
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.7


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