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St. Timothy's (12-6)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: P.& G. Finn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at Nease (15-6)	FL Distr 3	79.4		W	10-	8		0.200
3/22	at Bartram Trail (14-5)	FL Distr 2	78.0		W	10-	5		0.150
3/27	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (7-7)	MD IAAM B	80.2	5	W	9-	8		0.125
3/29	at Garrison Forest (15-2)	MD IAAM B	89.1	2	L	1-	13		-0.075
3/31	PARK SCHOOL (11-4)	MD IAAM B	86.0	3	L	3-	8		-0.200
4/04	ST. JOHN'S @ P.H. (0-11)	MD IAAM B	78.2	10	W	16-	3		0.000
4/05	at Oldfields School (3-9)	MD IAAM B	79.2	8	W	11-	6		0.150
4/10	at Inst. of Notre Dame (5-11)	MD IAAM B	79.3	7	W	15-	3		0.150
4/12	FRIENDS SCHOOL (10-4)	MD IAAM B	89.2	1	L	6-	11		-0.125
4/16	at Chapelgate Christian (4-8)	MD IAAM B	79.4	6	W	16-	8		0.175
4/20	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRIST. (4-10)	MD IAAM B	79.2	9	W	13-	8		0.075
4/23	at Park School (11-4)	MD IAAM B	86.0	3	L	5-	12		-0.125
4/24	OLDFIELDS SCHOOL (3-9)	MD IAAM B	79.2	8	W	14-	6		0.100
4/26	at Glenelg Country School (7-7)	MD IAAM B	80.2	5	W	7-	6		0.200
4/27	TOWSON CATHOLIC (1-7)	MD IAAM C	65.6		W	13-	0		0.000
5/01	GARRISON FOREST (15-2)	MD IAAM B	89.1	2	L	6-	15		-0.125
5/08	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (5-11)	MD IAAM B	79.3	7	W	15-	5		0.075
5/10	at Garrison Forest (15-2)	MD IAAM B	89.1	2	L	7-	11		-0.075
			80.4						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Nease	10-	8	2	2		1.90		-0.34
3/22	A	Bartram Trail	10-	5	5	4		1.90		1.29
3/27	H	Glenelg Country School	9-	8	1	5	–	-1.20	-3.76
3/29	A	Garrison Forest	1-	13	-12	-7	––	1.20	-4.57
3/31	H	Park School	3-	8	-5	-2	–	-1.20	-2.80
4/04	H	St. John's @ P.H.	16-	3	13	14		-1.20	-0.73
4/05	A	Oldfields School	11-	6	5	4		1.20	0.99
4/10	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	15-	3	12	4	+++	1.20	7.57
4/12	H	Friends School	6-	11	-5	-5		-1.20	-0.27
4/16	A	Chapelgate Christian	16-	8	8	3	++	1.20	5.11
4/20	H	Annapolis Area Christ.	13-	8	5	7	–	-1.20	-2.02
4/23	A	Park School	5-	12	-7	-5	–	1.20	-2.40
4/24	H	Oldfields School	14-	6	8	6		-1.20	1.60
4/26	A	Glenelg Country School	7-	6	1	2		1.20	-1.37
4/27	H	Towson Catholic	13-	0	13	20	–––	-1.54		-6.54
5/01	H	Garrison Forest	6-	15	-9	-5	–	-1.20	-3.96
5/08	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	15-	5	10	7	+	-1.20	3.18
5/10	A	Garrison Forest	7-	11	-4	-7	+	1.20	3.43
									0.00	-5.58

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	A	Garrison Forest	1-	13	2.00
4/04	H	St. John's @ P.H.	16-	3	0.73
4/10	A	Inst. of Notre Dame	15-	3	-2.00
4/27	H	Towson Catholic	13-	0	6.54
5/08	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	15-	5	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	83.		Natl CCR Rank	218
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.62		Natl Power Rank	218
Natl SOS Rating	72.60		Natl SOS Rank	300
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	272
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	504
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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