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St. Ursula, Cincinatti Bulldogs (9-5)

Region: OH S-D1

State: OH

Coach: Sean Murphy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/15	at Summit Country Day (17-7)	OH S-D2	77.8		W	12-	4		0.200
3/20	at Seton (4-10)	OH S-D2	72.9		W	18-	3		0.000
3/22	at Ursuline Academy, OH (4-8)	OH S-D1	76.8			-
3/27	MCAULEY, OH (3-9)	OH S-D2	75.1		W	13-	8		0.075
3/29	at Cincinnati Hills Chris (8-4)	OH S-D2	77.1		W	15-	8		0.175
3/31	at DuPont Manual (13-7)	KY	77.2		W	11-	4		0.250
4/03	at Mother of Mercy (2-15)	OH S-D2	72.3		W	11-	0		0.000
4/12	at Indian Hill, OH (5-12)	OH S-D1	77.5		W	15-	13		0.250
4/17	at Mt. Notre Dame, OH (13-4)	OH S-D1	80.8		L	5-	9		-0.150
4/19	SYCAMORE (20-0)	OH S-D1	89.8	1	L	2-	16		0.000
4/21	WESTERVILLE NORTH (4-9)	OH C-D2	73.9		W	14-	2		0.000
4/24	URSULINE ACADEMY, OH (4-8)	OH S-D1	76.8			-
4/26	at Mason (12-4)	OH S-D1	81.3	8		-
4/30	at Mariemont (7-8)	OH S-D1	81.2	9	L	3-	13		-0.100
5/03	INDIAN HILL, OH (5-12)	OH S-D1	77.5		L	10-	11		-0.325
5/08	SEVEN HILLS (8-7)	OH S-D2	75.7		W	16-	12		0.050
5/14	at Mt. Notre Dame, OH (13-4)	OH S-D1	80.8		L	9-	14		-0.150
			74.0						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/15	A	Summit Country Day	12-	4	8	2	+++	1.09	6.39
3/20	A	Seton	18-	3	15	11	+	1.09	3.91
3/27	H	McAuley, OH	13-	8	5	7	–	-1.09	-2.18
3/29	A	Cincinnati Hills Chris	15-	8	7	3	+	1.09	3.76
3/31	A	DuPont Manual	11-	4	7	0	+++	1.61		6.64
4/03	A	Mother of Mercy	11-	0	11	11		1.09	-0.16
4/12	A	Indian Hill, OH	15-	13	2	0		1.09	1.65
4/17	A	Mt. Notre Dame, OH	5-	9	-4	-4		1.09	0.01
4/19	H	Sycamore	2-	16	-14	-12		-1.09	-1.58
4/21	H	Westerville North	14-	2	12	11		-1.09	0.92
4/30	A	Mariemont	3-	13	-10	-6	––	1.09	-4.01
5/03	H	Indian Hill, OH	10-	11	-1	3	–	-1.09	-3.53
5/08	H	Seven Hills	16-	12	4	8	––	-1.09	-4.19
5/14	A	Mt. Notre Dame, OH	9-	14	-5	-4		1.09	-0.99
									0.00	6.64

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	A	Seton	18-	3	-3.91
4/03	A	Mother of Mercy	11-	0	0.16
4/19	H	Sycamore	2-	16	1.58
4/21	H	Westerville North	14-	2	-0.92
4/30	A	Mariemont	3-	13	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	455
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.15		Natl Power Rank	455
Natl SOS Rating	61.86		Natl SOS Rank	905
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	688
W-L Pct Rating	0.64		W-L Pct Rank	577
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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