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Thomas Johnson Patriots (7-6)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Bernie Gibson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	MIDDLETOWN, MD (12-3)	MD 2A	72.3		W	12-	11		0.275
3/30	at Walkersville (13-3)	MD 2A	79.5		L	5-	15		0.000
4/03	SMITHSBURG (8-6)	MD 1A	67.9		W	14-	4		0.125
4/10	at Century, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	0-	20		0.000
4/12	at Catoctin (2-5)	MD 1A	63.4		W	15-	11		0.125
4/17	NORTH CARROLL (11-7)	MD 3A	79.6		L	6-	20		0.000
4/19	at Urbana (7-9)	MD 3A	76.4		L	3-	14		0.000
4/21	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (0-6)	MD 2A	54.4		W	22-	1		0.000
4/24	WESTMINSTER, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	85.6		L	2-	24		0.000
4/27	TUSCARORA (2-11)	MD 1A	61.5		W	19-	9		0.025
5/01	at Linganore (5-10)	MD 3A	68.7		W	18-	15		0.250
5/03	FREDERICK (1-10)	MD 3A	57.1		W	16-	4		0.000
5/10	GAITHERSBURG (8-6)	MD 4A	69.3		L	13-	16		-0.300
			73.5						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Middletown, MD	12-	11	1	-1	+	-1.20	2.21
3/30	A	Walkersville	5-	15	-10	-12	+	1.20	2.18
4/03	H	Smithsburg	14-	4	10	5	++	-1.20	4.92
4/10	A	Century, MD	0-	20	-20	-21		1.20	0.81
4/12	A	Catoctin	15-	11	4	5		1.20	-0.70
4/17	H	North Carroll	6-	20	-14	-11	–	-1.20	-3.50
4/19	A	Urbana	3-	14	-11	-10		1.20	-1.20
4/21	H	North Hagerstown	22-	1	21	17	++	-1.20	4.19
4/24	H	Westminster, MD	2-	24	-22	-15	–––	-1.20	-6.65
4/27	H	Tuscarora	19-	9	10	9		-1.20	1.18
5/01	A	Linganore	18-	15	3	0	+	1.20	3.22
5/03	H	Frederick	16-	4	12	13		-1.20	-1.34
5/10	H	Gaithersburg	13-	16	-3	2	––	-1.20	-5.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	A	Walkersville	5-	15	-2.18
4/03	H	Smithsburg	14-	4	0.00
4/10	A	Century, MD	0-	20	-0.81
4/17	H	North Carroll	6-	20	3.50
4/19	A	Urbana	3-	14	1.00
4/21	H	North Hagerstown	22-	1	-4.19
4/24	H	Westminster, MD	2-	24	6.65
4/27	H	Tuscarora	19-	9	0.00
5/03	H	Frederick	16-	4	1.34
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	70.		Natl CCR Rank	1223
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.98		Natl Power Rank	1223
Natl SOS Rating	62.27		Natl SOS Rank	880
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	434
W-L Pct Rating	0.54		W-L Pct Rank	838
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-20.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-21.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0


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