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Thayer Academy Tigers (9-3)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Anni McDonough

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	NORWELL (12-10)	MA So D2	80.9			-
3/31	vs. Loyola Academy, IL # (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9		L	10-	12		-0.175
3/31	vs. Upper Arlington # (16-4)	OH C-D1	86.0		W	8-	4		0.300
4/04	WORCESTER ACADEMY, MA (4-7)	NE	71.6			-
4/07	TABOR ACADEMY (3-10)	NE	74.4		W	12-	2		0.000
4/11	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (15-0)	NE	86.9	2	L	9-	10		-0.225
4/14	at Rivers School (5-9)	NE	76.8			-
4/18	at Groton School (6-8)	NE	80.6		W	12-	4		0.225
4/21	at Middlesex School (9-4)	NE	81.5		W	8-	7		0.225
4/25	MILTON ACADEMY (8-8)	NE	80.9		W	11-	7		0.175
4/27	ST. PAUL'S SCHOOL, NH (3-8)	NE	78.1		W	8-	6		0.100
5/02	BUCKINGHAM, B & N (4-8)	NE	76.7			-
5/05	at Lawrence Academy (1-8)	NE	76.3		W	9-	4		0.125
5/09	ST. MARK'S, MA (3-9)	NE	75.7		W	18-	9		0.025
5/12	BROOKS SCHOOL (13-2)	NE	84.5	4	L	9-	10		-0.275
5/16	at Phillips Andover (8-5)	NE	82.3	8		-
5/19	at Governor Dummer Academ (6-6)	NE	80.7			-
5/23	ST. GEORGE'S SCHOOL, R (12-6)	NE	81.8	10	W	12-	10		0.200
# Neutral site			81.2						0.70

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	N	Loyola Academy, IL	10-	12	-2	-3		0.00		0.80
3/31	N	Upper Arlington	8-	4	4	-2	++	0.00		5.95
4/07	H	Tabor Academy	12-	2	10	12	–	-1.33	-2.34
4/11	H	Noble & Greenough	9-	10	-1	-1		-1.33	0.48
4/18	A	Groton School	12-	4	8	1	+++	1.33	7.23
4/21	A	Middlesex School	8-	7	1	1		1.33	0.14
4/25	H	Milton Academy	11-	7	4	3		-1.33	0.85
4/27	H	St. Paul's School, NH	8-	6	2	6	––	-1.33	-4.12
5/05	A	Lawrence Academy	9-	4	5	5		1.33	-0.37
5/09	H	St. Mark's, MA	18-	9	9	9		-1.33	0.01
5/12	H	Brooks School	9-	10	-1	1		-1.33	-1.64
5/23	H	St. George's School, R	12-	10	2	2		-1.33	-0.25
									0.00	6.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	H	Tabor Academy	12-	2	2.34
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	191
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.10		Natl Power Rank	191
Natl SOS Rating	73.74		Natl SOS Rank	238
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.70		Natl Quality Win Rank	274
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	317
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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