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Thurston Colts (0-16)

Region: OR SouthState: ORCoach: Lauren Peters

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/17SHERWOOD, OR (8-8)OR NW61.1L1- 9 0.000  
3/17WILSONVILLE (3-13)OR NW54.3L2-15 -0.150  
3/20ROSEBURG (12-4)OR South67.6L1-16 0.000  
4/03at South Eugene (5-10)OR South59.1L2-14 -0.025  
4/04at Sheldon (11-5)OR South65.9L2-14 0.000  
4/07vs. Grant # (10-6)OR PIL67.5L1-17 0.000  
4/07at Lincoln, OR (15-5)OR PIL75.03L0-14 0.000  
4/10SOUTH EUGENE (5-10)OR South59.1L2-14 -0.025  
4/19MARIST, OR (7-9)OR South62.2L2-11 0.000  
4/26WEST SALEM (3-11)OR South55.0L5-19 -0.100  
5/01at Marist, OR (7-9)OR South62.2L1-16 0.000  
5/03at Roseburg (12-4)OR South67.6L4-16 0.000  
5/05ALOHA (5-11)OR Metro59.6L2- 9 -0.025  
5/05BEAVERTON (5-11)OR Metro57.8L1- 3 -0.075  
5/10SHELDON (11-5)OR South65.9L2-11 0.000  
5/11at West Salem (3-11)OR South55.0L5-14 -0.100  
# Neutral site 63.1     -0.50  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/17HSherwood, OR1-9-8   -10       -0.01       1.93
3/17HWilsonville2-15-13   -4       –––-0.01       -8.95
3/20HRoseburg1-16-15   -15       -0.01       -0.13
4/03ASouth Eugene2-14-12   -9       0.01       -2.71
4/04ASheldon2-14-12   -14       0.01       1.71
4/07NGrant1-17-16   -16       0.00       -0.27
4/07ALincoln, OR0-14-14   -23       +++0.01       9.17
4/10HSouth Eugene2-14-12   -9       -0.01       -2.73
4/19HMarist, OR2-11-9   -11       +-0.01       2.40
4/26HWest Salem5-19-14   -6       –––-0.01       -8.41
5/01AMarist, OR1-16-15   -11       0.01       -3.58
5/03ARoseburg4-16-12   -15       +0.01       2.89
5/05HAloha2-9-7   -9       -0.01       1.99
5/05HBeaverton1-3-2   -7       ++-0.01       5.41
5/10HSheldon2-11-9   -14       ++-0.01       4.69
5/11AWest Salem5-14-9   -6       0.01       -3.39
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/17HWilsonville2-153.00
3/20HRoseburg1-160.13
4/03ASouth Eugene2-142.00
4/04ASheldon2-14-1.71
4/07NGrant1-170.27
4/07ALincoln, OR0-14-9.17
4/10HSouth Eugene2-142.00
4/26HWest Salem5-194.00
5/01AMarist, OR1-163.58
5/03ARoseburg4-16-2.89
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 49.   Natl CCR Rank 2043
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 48.78   Natl Power Rank 2043
Natl SOS Rating 46.01   Natl SOS Rank 1974
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.50   Natl Quality Win Rank 1746
W-L Pct Rating 0.00   W-L Pct Rank 2014
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 0-16   Ave Goal diff (all ) -11.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -11.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -6.7



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