| Region: FL Distr 9 | State: FL | Coach: Randy Polito |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/12 | at Lake Mary (5-9) | FL Distr 4 | 75.4 | | L | 4- | 5 | | -0.125 |
2/15 | WINTER PARK (18-5) | FL Distr 6 | 82.3 | 7 | L | 1- | 10 | | -0.075 |
2/20 | UNIVERSITY HS, ORLANDO (7-10) | FL Distr 9 | 73.8 | | W | 6- | 4 | | 0.125 |
2/22 | WEST ORANGE (16-3) | FL Distr 8 | 80.0 | 8 | L | 2- | 13 | | -0.125 |
3/05 | at Edgewater (10-7) | FL Distr 7 | 75.4 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.175 |
3/06 | at Colonial (2-12) | FL Distr 9 | 66.3 | | W | 12- | 0 | | 0.050 |
3/08 | LAKE HOWELL (8-6) | FL Distr 5 | 76.4 | | L | 4- | 11 | | -0.250 |
3/19 | at Lyman (4-10) | FL Distr 4 | 74.0 | | W | 12- | 9 | | 0.275 |
3/22 | at Olympia (13-6) | FL Distr 7 | 78.0 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.025 |
3/24 | vs. Apopka # (4-11) | FL Distr 1 | 71.8 | | W | 12- | 8 | | 0.150 |
3/24 | vs. University HS, Ft. L. # (7-7) | FL South 1 | 73.7 | | W | 6- | 2 | | 0.175 |
3/27 | at Boone (2-15) | FL Distr 6 | 69.4 | | W | 11- | 2 | | 0.150 |
3/29 | at Freedom, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | W | 16- | 11 | | 0.275 |
4/03 | CYPRESS CREEK (9-8) | FL Distr 1 | 74.9 | | W | 9- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/06 | DR. PHILLIPS (2-13) | FL Distr 8 | 66.9 | | W | 12- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | COLONIAL (2-12) | FL Distr 9 | 66.3 | | W | 16- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | FREEDOM, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.150 |
4/17 | vs. West Orange # (16-3) | FL Distr 8 | 80.0 | 8 | L | 3- | 17 | | -0.050 |
| # Neutral site | | 72.3 | | | | | | 0.68 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/12 | A | Lake Mary | 4- | 5 | -1 | -5 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.44 | |
2/15 | H | Winter Park | 1- | 10 | -9 | -7 | – | -2.60 | -2.02 | |
2/20 | H | University HS, Orlando | 6- | 4 | 2 | 5 | – | -2.60 | -2.76 | |
2/22 | H | West Orange | 2- | 13 | -11 | -5 | ––– | -2.60 | -6.09 | |
3/05 | A | Edgewater | 6- | 12 | -6 | -3 | – | 2.60 | -3.10 | |
3/06 | A | Colonial | 12- | 0 | 12 | 8 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.24 | |
3/08 | H | Lake Howell | 4- | 11 | -7 | 0 | ––– | -2.60 | -7.13 | |
3/19 | A | Lyman | 12- | 9 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.46 | |
3/22 | A | Olympia | 7- | 11 | -4 | -9 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.60 | |
3/24 | N | Apopka | 12- | 8 | 4 | 4 | | 0.00 | -0.09 | |
3/24 | N | University HS, Ft. L. | 6- | 2 | 4 | 3 | | 0.00 | 0.62 | |
3/27 | A | Boone | 11- | 2 | 9 | 4 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.72 | |
3/29 | A | Freedom, FL | 16- | 11 | 5 | -1 | +++ | 2.60 | 6.19 | |
4/03 | H | Cypress Creek | 9- | 6 | 3 | 4 | | -2.60 | -0.86 | |
4/06 | H | Dr. Phillips | 12- | 3 | 9 | 13 | – | -2.60 | -3.74 | |
4/10 | H | Colonial | 16- | 6 | 10 | 13 | – | -2.60 | -2.97 | |
4/12 | H | Freedom, FL | 15- | 5 | 10 | 4 | ++ | -2.60 | 5.98 | |
4/17 | N | West Orange | 3- | 17 | -14 | -8 | ––– | 0.00 | -6.49 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/22 | H | West Orange | 2- | 13 | 1.00 |
3/06 | A | Colonial | 12- | 0 | -2.00 |
4/10 | H | Colonial | 16- | 6 | 2.97 |
4/12 | H | Freedom, FL | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
4/17 | N | West Orange | 3- | 17 | 4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.33 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 75. | | Natl CCR Rank | 807 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.26 | | Natl Power Rank | 807 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 59.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1140 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.68 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 288 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.61 | | W-L Pct Rank | 653 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.0 |
|
