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Toms River North Mariners (5-7)

Region: NJ SC A S

State: NJ

Coach: Kathy Leighty

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Wall Township (4-7)	NJ Indep	71.6		W	14-	2		0.100
4/04	TOMS RIVER SOUTH (3-6)	NJ SC A S	75.9			-
4/07	SHORE REGIONAL (22-2)	NJ SC B	89.1	4	L	8-	20		0.000
4/09	at Toms River East (8-9)	NJ SC A S	75.7		W	9-	5		0.175
4/11	JACKSON MEMORIAL, NJ (16-4)	NJ SC A S	81.3		L	7-	10		-0.150
4/13	at Brick Memorial (3-9)	NJ SC A S	70.0			-
4/18	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (15-4)	NJ SC A S	78.1		W	9-	8		0.250
4/20	at Brick Township (1-11)	NJ SC A S	67.5		W	20-	8		0.025
4/23	at Toms River South (3-6)	NJ SC A S	75.9			-
4/25	TOMS RIVER EAST (8-9)	NJ SC A S	75.7		W	13-	4		0.100
4/27	at Jackson Memorial, NJ (16-4)	NJ SC A S	81.3		L	7-	17		-0.075
4/30	BRICK MEMORIAL (3-9)	NJ SC A S	70.0			-
5/03	CENTRAL REGIONAL (2-8)	NJ SC A S	70.0			-
5/04	at Southern Regional (15-4)	NJ SC A S	78.1		L	7-	16		-0.150
5/07	BRICK TOWNSHIP (1-11)	NJ SC A S	67.5			-
5/09	at Southern Regional (15-4)	NJ SC A S	78.1		L	7-	13		-0.150
5/16	RED BANK CATHOLIC (14-6)	NJ SC A N	77.3		L	6-	8		-0.275
5/18	MONSIGNOR DONOVAN (12-3)	NJ SC B	76.2			-
5/21	at Pennsauken (9-9)	NJ OC Pat	76.2		L	10-	11	ot	-0.225
			74.9						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Wall Township	14-	2	12	6	++	1.62	5.96
4/07	H	Shore Regional	8-	20	-12	-11		-1.62	-0.65
4/09	A	Toms River East	9-	5	4	3		1.62	0.76
4/11	H	Jackson Memorial, NJ	7-	10	-3	-4		-1.62	1.11
4/18	H	Southern Regional	9-	8	1	0		-1.62	1.30
4/20	A	Brick Township	20-	8	12	9	+	1.62	3.03
4/25	H	Toms River East	13-	4	9	6	+	-1.62	2.53
4/27	A	Jackson Memorial, NJ	7-	17	-10	-7	–	1.62	-2.65
5/04	A	Southern Regional	7-	16	-9	-4	––	1.62	-5.46
5/09	A	Southern Regional	7-	13	-6	-4	–	1.62	-2.46
5/16	H	Red Bank Catholic	6-	8	-2	1	–	-1.62	-3.45
5/21	A	Pennsauken	10-	11	-1	-1		1.62	-0.02
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Wall Township	14-	2	-2.00
4/07	H	Shore Regional	8-	20	0.65
4/20	A	Brick Township	20-	8	-2.00
4/27	A	Jackson Memorial, NJ	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	726
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.11		Natl Power Rank	726
Natl SOS Rating	63.47		Natl SOS Rank	805
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	1603
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1150
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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