| Region: FL Distr 9 | State: FL | Coach: John Hanson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/15 | COLONIAL (2-12) | FL Distr 9 | 66.3 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
2/16 | LAKE HOWELL (8-6) | FL Distr 5 | 76.4 | | L | 5- | 9 | | -0.200 |
2/20 | at Timber Creek (11-7) | FL Distr 9 | 75.3 | | L | 4- | 6 | | -0.125 |
2/23 | at Bartram Trail (14-5) | FL Distr 2 | 78.7 | | L | 2- | 11 | | 0.000 |
2/24 | at Nease (15-6) | FL Distr 3 | 79.2 | 10 | L | 6- | 16 | | 0.000 |
3/01 | OCOEE (0-13) | FL Distr 8 | 62.1 | | W | 13- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/05 | WINTER PARK (18-5) | FL Distr 6 | 82.3 | 7 | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.025 |
3/08 | LYMAN (4-10) | FL Distr 4 | 74.0 | | W | 12- | 11 | ot | 0.200 |
3/20 | at Boone (2-15) | FL Distr 6 | 69.4 | | W | 14- | 12 | | 0.200 |
3/23 | at Flagler Palm Coast (11-8) | FL Distr 3 | 75.5 | | L | 6- | 12 | | -0.100 |
3/27 | at Freedom, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | W | 13- | 12 | | 0.325 |
3/29 | EDGEWATER (10-7) | FL Distr 7 | 75.4 | | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.250 |
3/30 | EAST RIDGE (6-9) | FL Distr 8 | 72.1 | | W | 8- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/03 | at West Orange (16-3) | FL Distr 8 | 80.0 | 8 | L | 3- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/05 | at Cypress Creek (9-8) | FL Distr 1 | 74.9 | | L | 5- | 12 | | -0.150 |
4/06 | APOPKA (4-11) | FL Distr 1 | 71.8 | | W | 9- | 3 | | 0.125 |
4/10 | FREEDOM, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | L | 13- | 14 | | -0.300 |
| | 72.6 | | | | | | -0.18 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/15 | H | Colonial | 18- | 1 | 17 | 11 | +++ | -2.60 | 6.19 | |
2/16 | H | Lake Howell | 5- | 9 | -4 | -2 | | -2.60 | -1.97 | |
2/20 | A | Timber Creek | 4- | 6 | -2 | -5 | + | 2.60 | 2.76 | |
2/23 | A | Bartram Trail | 2- | 11 | -9 | -11 | + | 2.60 | 2.36 | |
2/24 | A | Nease | 6- | 16 | -10 | -11 | | 2.60 | 0.87 | |
3/01 | H | Ocoee | 13- | 3 | 10 | 14 | –– | -2.60 | -4.01 | |
3/05 | H | Winter Park | 7- | 16 | -9 | -9 | | -2.60 | 0.13 | |
3/08 | H | Lyman | 12- | 11 | 1 | 2 | | -2.60 | -0.59 | |
3/20 | A | Boone | 14- | 12 | 2 | 2 | | 2.60 | -0.13 | |
3/23 | A | Flagler Palm Coast | 6- | 12 | -6 | -6 | | 2.60 | 0.49 | |
3/27 | A | Freedom, FL | 13- | 12 | 1 | -3 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.35 | |
3/29 | H | Edgewater | 10- | 12 | -2 | 0 | – | -2.60 | -2.15 | |
3/30 | H | East Ridge | 8- | 6 | 2 | 5 | – | -2.60 | -2.67 | |
4/03 | A | West Orange | 3- | 16 | -13 | -12 | | 2.60 | -0.73 | |
4/05 | A | Cypress Creek | 5- | 12 | -7 | -4 | – | 2.60 | -3.50 | |
4/06 | H | Apopka | 9- | 3 | 6 | 5 | | -2.60 | 1.46 | |
4/10 | H | Freedom, FL | 13- | 14 | -1 | 2 | – | -2.60 | -2.86 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/15 | H | Colonial | 18- | 1 | -6.19 |
2/24 | A | Nease | 6- | 16 | -0.87 |
3/01 | H | Ocoee | 13- | 3 | 4.01 |
4/03 | A | West Orange | 3- | 16 | 0.73 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.14 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 74. | | Natl CCR Rank | 916 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 73.79 | | Natl Power Rank | 916 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 59.85 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1073 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.18 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1333 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.41 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1162 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 7-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
|
