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Union-Endicott Tigers (4-8)

Region: NY A Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Laura Ansbro

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/18	at Binghamton (12-5)	NY A Sec 4	86.0	3	L	4-	18		-0.025
4/20	at Horseheads (7-8)	NY A Sec 4	82.7	5	L	5-	14		-0.075
4/21	at East Syracuse-Minoa (13-5)	NY B Sec 3	81.5			-
4/23	at Ithaca (9-11)	NY A Sec 4	82.6	6	L	4-	15		-0.075
4/25	at Maine-Endwell (12-5)	NY B Sec 4	86.6	2	L	3-	13		0.000
4/30	CORNING EAST (18-2)	NY C Sec 4	92.4	1	L	7-	19		0.000
5/04	at Corning West (12-6)	NY A Sec 4	84.1	4	L	5-	15		-0.050
5/07	at Vestal (8-10)	NY A Sec 4	80.5	7	L	7-	12		-0.125
5/11	at Johnson City (2-14)	NY C Sec 4	71.2		W	15-	8		0.100
5/15	at Chenango Forks (0-12)	NY C Sec 4	68.8		W	21-	3		0.000
5/17	at Seton Catholic Central (5-9)	NY C Sec 4	72.5	10	W	13-	2		0.100
5/18	OWEGO FREE ACADEMY (4-11)	NY C Sec 4	73.9	9	W	15-	6		0.100
5/22	vs. Maine-Endwell # (12-5)	NY B Sec 4	86.6	2	L	4-	17		-0.025
# Neutral site			82.3						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/18	A	Binghamton	4-	18	-14	-9	––	1.71	-5.14
4/20	A	Horseheads	5-	14	-9	-7		1.71	-1.51
4/23	A	Ithaca	4-	15	-11	-7	–	1.71	-3.54
4/25	A	Maine-Endwell	3-	13	-10	-10		1.71	0.24
4/30	H	Corning East	7-	19	-12	-11		-1.71	-1.10
5/04	A	Corning West	5-	15	-10	-8	–	1.71	-2.18
5/07	A	Vestal	7-	12	-5	-5		1.71	0.36
5/11	A	Johnson City	15-	8	7	6		1.71	0.61
5/15	A	Chenango Forks	21-	3	18	10	+++	1.71	7.87
5/17	A	Seton Catholic Central	13-	2	11	6	++	1.71	5.39
5/18	H	Owego Free Academy	15-	6	9	6	+	-1.71	3.47
5/22	N	Maine-Endwell	4-	17	-13	-9	––	0.00	-4.47
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	A	Binghamton	4-	18	4.00
4/23	A	Ithaca	4-	15	1.00
4/25	A	Maine-Endwell	3-	13	0.00
4/30	H	Corning East	7-	19	1.10
5/04	A	Corning West	5-	15	0.00
5/15	A	Chenango Forks	21-	3	-7.87
5/17	A	Seton Catholic Central	13-	2	-1.00
5/22	N	Maine-Endwell	4-	17	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	687
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.43		Natl Power Rank	687
Natl SOS Rating	76.08		Natl SOS Rank	167
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1199
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1330
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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