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Upper Arlington Golden Bears (16-4)

Region: OH C-D1

State: OH

Coach: Pinta Gallapoo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Thomas Worthington (14-6)	OH C-D1	84.4	4	W	11-	4		0.250
3/31	vs. Loyola Academy, IL # (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9		L	9-	10		-0.225
3/31	vs. Thayer Academy # (9-3)	NE	84.0		L	4-	8		-0.300
4/06	COLUMBUS ACADEMY, OH (11-4)	OH C-D1	85.3	3	W	11-	9		0.200
4/11	DUBLIN JEROME (10-7)	OH C-D1	82.6	5	W	9-	6		0.125
4/13	LAKE FOREST (13-12)	IL N Sub	78.9		W	9-	2		0.050
4/15	HINSDALE CENTRAL (21-5)	IL W Sub	85.3		W	14-	5		0.200
4/17	DUBLIN COFFMAN (5-7)	OH C-D1	78.4		W	18-	3		0.000
4/20	COLUMBUS SG, OH (4-11)	OH C-D1	77.6		W	17-	6		0.000
4/21	at Mariemont (7-8)	OH S-D1	81.2	9	W	7-	6		0.150
4/21	at Sycamore (20-0)	OH S-D1	89.8	1	L	3-	6		-0.150
4/23	at Dublin Scioto (0-13)	OH C-D1	74.1		W	16-	1		0.000
4/26	at Worthington Kilbourne (8-9)	OH C-D1	79.2		W	15-	2		0.025
4/28	vs. Hathaway Brown # (16-5)	OH NNW-D1	80.5		W	7-	5		0.050
4/30	at Hilliard Darby (8-10)	OH C-D1	76.6		W	16-	4		0.000
5/03	HILLIARD DAVIDSON (7-7)	OH C-D1	78.0		W	19-	1		0.000
5/14	COLUMBUS SG, OH (4-11)	OH C-D1	77.6		W	16-	5		0.000
5/17	MASON (12-4)	OH S-D1	81.3	8	W	13-	7		0.050
5/23	vs. Thomas Worthington # (14-6)	OH C-D1	84.4	4	W	7-	6		0.200
6/02	SYCAMORE (20-0)	OH S-D1	89.8	1	L	7-	9		-0.200
# Neutral site			80.6						0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Thomas Worthington	11-	4	7	0	+++	1.09	6.50
3/31	N	Loyola Academy, IL	9-	10	-1	-1		0.00		-0.11
3/31	N	Thayer Academy	4-	8	-4	2	–––	0.00		-6.02
4/06	H	Columbus Academy, OH	11-	9	2	2		-1.09	-0.36
4/11	H	Dublin Jerome	9-	6	3	5	–	-1.09	-2.43
4/13	H	Lake Forest	9-	2	7	8		-1.19		-1.34
4/15	H	Hinsdale Central	14-	5	9	2	+++	-1.19		7.06
4/17	H	Dublin Coffman	18-	3	15	12	+	-1.09	3.09
4/20	H	Columbus SG, OH	17-	6	11	12		-1.09	-1.04
4/21	A	Mariemont	7-	6	1	4	–	1.09	-3.30
4/21	A	Sycamore	3-	6	-3	-4		1.09	1.32
4/23	A	Dublin Scioto	16-	1	15	17		1.09	-1.67
4/26	A	Worthington Kilbourne	15-	2	13	9	++	1.09	4.36
4/28	N	Hathaway Brown	7-	5	2	8	–––	0.00	-6.04
4/30	A	Hilliard Darby	16-	4	12	13		1.09	-0.95
5/03	H	Hilliard Davidson	19-	1	18	14	++	-1.09	4.09
5/14	H	Columbus SG, OH	16-	5	11	12		-1.09	-1.04
5/17	H	Mason	13-	7	6	8	–	-1.09	-2.07
5/23	N	Thomas Worthington	7-	6	1	2		0.00	-0.59
6/02	H	Sycamore	7-	9	-2	-2		-1.09	0.13
									0.00	-0.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Dublin Coffman	18-	3	-3.09
4/20	H	Columbus SG, OH	17-	6	1.04
4/23	A	Dublin Scioto	16-	1	1.67
4/26	A	Worthington Kilbourne	15-	2	-3.00
4/30	A	Hilliard Darby	16-	4	0.95
5/03	H	Hilliard Davidson	19-	1	-4.09
5/14	H	Columbus SG, OH	16-	5	1.04
10-goal correction: -0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	138
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.01		Natl Power Rank	137
Natl SOS Rating	73.06		Natl SOS Rank	278
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	443
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	245
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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