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Urbana Hawks (7-9)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Sally Watsic

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	at South Carroll (4-8)	MD 2A	72.0		W	13-	11	ot	0.175
4/03	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		L	8-	13		-0.250
4/05	vs. Severna Park # (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	1-	17		0.000
4/09	vs. Chesapeake, AA County # (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		W	8-	5		0.350
4/10	WESTMINSTER, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	85.6		L	10-	11		-0.075
4/13	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (5-13)	MD IAAM A	83.9		L	6-	8		-0.100
4/17	at Tuscarora (2-11)	MD 1A	61.5		W	15-	4		0.000
4/19	THOMAS JOHNSON (7-6)	MD 4A	70.0		W	14-	3		0.000
4/21	at Winters Mill (10-6)	MD 2A	82.4		L	4-	15		-0.125
4/23	at Liberty, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	85.0		L	5-	12		-0.075
4/26	at Century, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	5-	20		0.000
5/01	NORTH CARROLL (11-7)	MD 3A	79.6		L	10-	14		-0.200
5/03	LINGANORE (5-10)	MD 3A	68.7		W	21-	5		0.000
5/12	JOHN F. KENNEDY, MD (1-9)	MD 3A	58.8		W	21-	1		0.000
5/14	LINGANORE (5-10)	MD 3A	68.7		W	18-	3		0.000
5/17	at Walkersville (13-3)	MD 2A	79.5		L	5-	10		-0.150
# Neutral site			80.2						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	South Carroll	13-	11	2	3		1.20	-1.32
4/03	H	Marriotts Ridge	8-	13	-5	0	––	-1.20	-4.85
4/05	N	Severna Park	1-	17	-16	-15		0.00	-1.10
4/09	N	Chesapeake, AA County	8-	5	3	-4	+++	0.00	6.60
4/10	H	Westminster, MD	10-	11	-1	-7	++	-1.20	5.74
4/13	H	Archbishop Spalding	6-	8	-2	-6	++	-1.03		4.47
4/17	A	Tuscarora	15-	4	11	15	––	1.20	-4.03
4/19	H	Thomas Johnson	14-	3	11	10		-1.20	1.20
4/21	A	Winters Mill	4-	15	-11	-5	––	1.20	-5.66
4/23	A	Liberty, MD	5-	12	-7	-7		1.20	0.46
4/26	A	Century, MD	5-	20	-15	-12	–	1.20	-2.79
5/01	H	North Carroll	10-	14	-4	-2	–	-1.20	-2.10
5/03	H	Linganore	21-	5	16	11	++	-1.20	5.22
5/12	H	John F. Kennedy, MD	21-	1	20	20		-1.20	-0.19
5/14	H	Linganore	18-	3	15	11	++	-1.20	4.22
5/17	A	Walkersville	5-	10	-5	-4		1.20	-1.42
									0.00	4.47

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	N	Severna Park	1-	17	1.10
4/17	A	Tuscarora	15-	4	4.03
4/19	H	Thomas Johnson	14-	3	-1.20
4/21	A	Winters Mill	4-	15	1.00
4/26	A	Century, MD	5-	20	2.79
5/03	H	Linganore	21-	5	-5.22
5/12	H	John F. Kennedy, MD	21-	1	0.19
5/14	H	Linganore	18-	3	-4.22
10-goal correction: -0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	683
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.44		Natl Power Rank	683
Natl SOS Rating	73.32		Natl SOS Rank	262
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	1613
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1086
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	10.0


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