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Ursuline Academy, MO Bears (14-7)

Region: MO MWAA

State: MO

Coach: Judy Anderson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	VISITATION ACADEMY, MO (1-12)	MO Indep	62.9		W	16-	3		0.000
3/30	URSULINE ACADEMY, TX (12-4)	TX No D1	78.3		W	10-	8		0.275
3/31	NERINX HALL (13-6)	MO MWAA	76.0	4	W	8-	6		0.200
4/03	at John Burroughs (7-12)	MO MWAA	68.7	8	W	10-	3		0.075
4/04	at Villa Duchesne (7-9)	MO MWAA	70.3	7	W	9-	7		0.100
4/11	vs. Mary Inst CDS (MICDS) # (13-3)	MO MWAA	81.1	1	L	3-	9		-0.175
4/12	ST. JOSEPH'S, MO (9-7)	MO MWAA	75.6	5	L	7-	9	ot	-0.275
4/17	WHITFIELD ACADEMY (3-9)	MO MWAA	65.6		W	17-	2		0.000
4/18	at Nerinx Hall (13-6)	MO MWAA	76.0	4	W	7-	4		0.225
4/20	vs. Evanston Township # (18-8)	IL C Sub	77.6		L	0-	7		-0.225
4/20	vs. Lake Forest # (13-12)	IL N Sub	78.9		L	1-	10		-0.200
4/21	vs. Hinsdale Central # (21-5)	IL W Sub	85.3		L	3-	13		-0.025
4/21	at New Trier (22-4)	IL C Sub	85.2		L	1-	8		0.000
4/23	at St. Joseph's, MO (9-7)	MO MWAA	75.6	5	W	6-	4		0.250
4/24	JOHN BURROUGHS (7-12)	MO MWAA	68.7	8	W	14-	1		0.050
4/27	PARKWAY WEST (8-9)	MO Mohawk	68.3	9	W	13-	2		0.025
5/02	at Mary Inst CDS (MICDS) (13-3)	MO MWAA	81.1	1		-
5/08	VILLA DUCHESNE (7-9)	MO MWAA	70.3	7	W	17-	4		0.075
5/14	WEBSTER GROVES (9-6)	MO Oneida	66.9		W	11-	5		0.000
5/16	vs. Villa Duchesne # (7-9)	MO MWAA	70.3	7	W	5-	4		0.100
5/17	vs. Mary Inst CDS (MICDS) # (13-3)	MO MWAA	81.1	1	L	5-	7		-0.175
5/19	vs. Lafayette, MO # (11-6)	MO Mohawk	76.7	2	W	6-	5		0.275
# Neutral site			75.6						0.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	Visitation Academy, MO	16-	3	13	14		-0.70	-1.30
3/30	H	Ursuline Academy, TX	10-	8	2	-1	+	-0.85		2.78
3/31	H	Nerinx Hall	8-	6	2	2		-0.70	-0.08
4/03	A	John Burroughs	10-	3	7	7		0.70	0.43
4/04	A	Villa Duchesne	9-	7	2	6	–	0.70	-3.79
4/11	N	Mary Inst CDS (MICDS)	3-	9	-6	-3	–	0.00	-3.04
4/12	H	St. Joseph's, MO	7-	9	-2	1	–	-0.70	-3.17
4/17	H	Whitfield Academy	17-	2	15	13		-0.70	1.85
4/18	A	Nerinx Hall	7-	4	3	1	+	0.70	2.32
4/20	N	Evanston Township	0-	7	-7	-1	–––	0.00		-6.07
4/20	N	Lake Forest	1-	10	-9	-2	–––	0.00		-6.81
4/21	N	Hinsdale Central	3-	13	-10	-9		0.00		-1.41
4/21	A	New Trier	1-	8	-7	-10	+	0.99		2.51
4/23	A	St. Joseph's, MO	6-	4	2	0	+	0.70	2.24
4/24	H	John Burroughs	14-	1	13	8	++	-0.70	5.02
4/27	H	Parkway West	13-	2	11	9		-0.70	1.57
5/08	H	Villa Duchesne	17-	4	13	7	++	-0.70	5.80
5/14	H	Webster Groves	11-	5	6	11	––	-0.70	-5.19
5/16	N	Villa Duchesne	5-	4	1	6	––	0.00	-5.49
5/17	N	Mary Inst CDS (MICDS)	5-	7	-2	-3		0.00	0.96
5/19	N	Lafayette, MO	6-	5	1	-1		0.00	1.85
									0.00	-9.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Visitation Academy, MO	16-	3	1.30
4/17	H	Whitfield Academy	17-	2	-1.85
4/21	N	Hinsdale Central	3-	13	0.00
4/24	H	John Burroughs	14-	1	-3.00
4/27	H	Parkway West	13-	2	-1.00
5/08	H	Villa Duchesne	17-	4	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	663
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.67		Natl Power Rank	663
Natl SOS Rating	64.39		Natl SOS Rank	739
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	336
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	511
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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