| Region: NC East | State: NC | Coach: Lisa Nelson |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/27 | CARY (4-13) | NC East | 65.8 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.000 |
2/28 | CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (9-8) | NC East | 71.8 | | W | 14- | 12 | | 0.225 |
3/08 | W.G. ENLOE (5-13) | NC East | 67.9 | | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.175 |
3/13 | BROUGHTON (11-8) | NC East | 71.9 | | L | 13- | 16 | ot | -0.300 |
3/16 | APEX (16-3) | NC E Cen | 80.5 | 1 | L | 10- | 19 | | -0.100 |
3/20 | at Cary (4-13) | NC East | 65.8 | | W | 12- | 2 | | 0.050 |
3/23 | vs. Topsail # (7-6) | NC SE | 67.4 | | W | 22- | 13 | | 0.125 |
3/24 | vs. Cape Fear Academy # (9-11) | NC SE | 67.2 | | W | 11- | 7 | | 0.125 |
3/27 | at Broughton (11-8) | NC East | 71.9 | | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.250 |
3/28 | at Middle Creek (5-8) | NC East | 67.5 | | W | 19- | 12 | | 0.175 |
4/10 | GREEN HOPE (17-5) | NC E Cen | 77.2 | 3 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.175 |
4/13 | at Ashley (3-6) | NC SE | 66.7 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.075 |
4/13 | at Hoggard (13-5) | NC SE | 71.8 | | W | 14- | 11 | | 0.225 |
4/16 | ATHENS DRIVE (8-9) | NC East | 71.8 | | T | 11- | 11 | 2ot | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Athens Drive (8-9) | NC East | 71.8 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.250 |
5/07 | at Western Guilford (14-5) | NC W Cen | 74.2 | 7 | W | 15- | 14 | | 0.325 |
5/12 | at Green Hope (17-5) | NC E Cen | 77.2 | 3 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.125 |
| # Neutral site | | 72.2 | | | | | | 0.80 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/27 | H | Cary | 14- | 5 | 9 | 10 | | -0.75 | -0.93 | |
2/28 | H | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 14- | 12 | 2 | 1 | | -0.75 | 0.70 | |
3/08 | H | W.G. Enloe | 13- | 10 | 3 | 3 | | -0.75 | -0.45 | |
3/13 | H | Broughton | 13- | 16 | -3 | 2 | –– | -0.75 | -4.53 | |
3/16 | H | Apex | 10- | 19 | -9 | -6 | – | -0.75 | -3.27 | |
3/20 | A | Cary | 12- | 2 | 10 | 8 | | 0.75 | 1.56 | |
3/23 | N | Topsail | 22- | 13 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.45 | |
3/24 | N | Cape Fear Academy | 11- | 7 | 4 | 5 | | 0.00 | -1.17 | |
3/27 | A | Broughton | 9- | 11 | -2 | 0 | – | 0.75 | -2.03 | |
3/28 | A | Middle Creek | 19- | 12 | 7 | 3 | ++ | 0.75 | 4.50 | |
4/10 | H | Green Hope | 8- | 15 | -7 | -3 | – | -0.75 | -3.65 | |
4/13 | A | Ashley | 13- | 6 | 7 | 7 | | 0.75 | 0.43 | |
4/13 | A | Hoggard | 14- | 11 | 3 | 1 | + | 0.75 | 2.32 | |
4/16 | H | Athens Drive | 11- | 11 | 0 | 1 | | -0.75 | -1.04 | |
4/24 | A | Athens Drive | 9- | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 0.75 | 1.46 | |
5/07 | A | Western Guilford | 15- | 14 | 1 | -3 | + | 0.75 | 3.82 | |
5/12 | A | Green Hope | 8- | 15 | -7 | -5 | – | 0.75 | -2.16 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/20 | A | Cary | 12- | 2 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 73. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1001 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 72.67 | | Natl Power Rank | 1001 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 58.76 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1176 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.80 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 220 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.68 | | W-L Pct Rank | 492 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.7 |
|
