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Ward Melville Patriots (18-2)

Conference: L1Region: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Erin Blaney

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/04at Huntington (14-6)NY B Sec 1189.67W12- 6 0.225  
4/11at Smithtown East (8-11)NY A Sec 1183.6W10- 7 0.075  
4/13CONNETQUOT (9-8)NY A Sec 1178.9W18- 4 0.000  
4/17at West Islip (12-6)NY A Sec 1188.6W17-13 0.175  
4/19BAY SHORE (13-6)NY A Sec 1190.36W15-13 0.200  
4/21EAST ISLIP (13-5)NY A Sec 1191.35W11-10 0.250  
4/23COMMACK (8-10)NY A Sec 1185.3W12- 6 0.075  
4/25at Northport (17-3)NY A Sec 1192.83L10-17 -0.150  
4/27at West Babylon (11-8)NY A Sec 1189.58W16-13 0.200  
4/28at Yorktown, NY (15-7)NY B Sec 187.0W15-13 0.150  
5/01at Longwood (5-9)NY A Sec 1178.1W19- 5 0.000  
5/03SACHEM EAST (10-8)NY A Sec 1187.8W14-13 0.150  
5/07NORTH BABYLON (11-6)NY A Sec 1189.09W19-18 0.175  
5/11LINDENHURST (6-10)NY A Sec 1183.6W19- 6 0.050  
5/15at Walt Whitman, NY (5-11)NY A Sec 1176.7W22-12 0.000  
5/17at Patchogue-Medford (5-11)NY A Sec 1173.4W21- 7 0.000  
5/22COMMACK (8-10)NY A Sec 1185.3W17-11 0.075  
5/24EAST ISLIP (13-5)NY A Sec 1191.35W15-13 0.250  
5/30vs. Northport # (17-3)NY A Sec 1192.83W11- 7 0.325  
6/03vs. Farmingdale # (16-4)NY A Sec 893.7L11-14 -0.200  
# Neutral site 84.9     2.02  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/04AHuntington12-66   1       ++0.81       4.53
4/11ASmithtown East10-73   7       ––0.81       -4.15
4/13HConnetquot18-414   14       -0.81       0.01
4/17AWest Islip17-134   3       0.81       0.62
4/19HBay Shore15-132   2       -0.81       0.32
4/21HEast Islip11-101   0       -0.81       0.52
4/23HCommack12-66   7       -0.81       -1.38
4/25ANorthport10-17-7   -4       –0.81       -3.40
4/27AWest Babylon16-133   2       0.81       1.49
4/28AYorktown, NY15-132   4       1.03       -1.56
5/01ALongwood19-514   13       0.81       1.25
5/03HSachem East14-131   4       –-0.81       -3.41
5/07HNorth Babylon19-181   3       –-0.81       -2.08
5/11HLindenhurst19-613   8       ++-0.81       4.54
5/15AWalt Whitman, NY22-1210   14       –0.81       -3.52
5/17APatchogue-Medford21-714   16       –0.81       -2.25
5/22HCommack17-116   7       -0.81       -1.38
5/24HEast Islip15-132   0       -0.81       1.52
5/30NNorthport11-74   -3       +++0.00       6.79
6/03NFarmingdale11-14-3   -2       0.00       -0.97
         0.00-2.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/13HConnetquot18-4-0.01
5/01ALongwood19-5-1.25
5/11HLindenhurst19-6-3.00
5/15AWalt Whitman, NY22-123.52
5/17APatchogue-Medford21-72.25
10-goal correction: 0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 188.   Natl CCR Rank 31
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 30
Natl Power Rating 91.62   Natl Power Rank 31
Natl SOS Rating 80.99   Natl SOS Rank 79
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.02   Natl Quality Win Rank 18
W-L Pct Rating 0.90   W-L Pct Rank 81
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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