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Watchung Hills Warriors (7-9)

Region: NJ CJ Cen

State: NJ

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (21-3)	NJ CJ Cen	84.9		L	4-	15		-0.025
4/07	at Montgomery, NJ (8-11)	NJ CJ Bdm	76.1		W	11-	10		0.300
4/09	IMMACULATA (1-16)	NJ CJ Cen	73.0		W	9-	6		0.125
4/11	at Hillsborough, NJ (15-5)	NJ CJ Cen	81.7		L	7-	17		-0.025
4/17	at Ridge (13-8)	NJ Indep	81.2		L	8-	20		-0.025
4/21	SOMERVILLE (8-9)	NJ Indep	74.9		W	11-	6		0.100
4/23	HUNTERDON CENTRAL (7-9)	NJ CJ Cen	76.1		L	11-	12		-0.275
4/26	at Bridgewater-Raritan (21-3)	NJ CJ Cen	84.9		L	6-	18		0.000
4/30	VOORHEES (14-4)	NJ Indep	78.9		W	15-	14	ot	0.300
5/01	MONTGOMERY, NJ (8-11)	NJ CJ Bdm	76.1		W	9-	8		0.225
5/03	at Immaculata (1-16)	NJ CJ Cen	73.0		W	17-	6		0.200
5/07	at Pingry School (11-7)	NJ CJ Lgn	78.7		L	10-	17		-0.100
5/08	HILLSBOROUGH, NJ (15-5)	NJ CJ Cen	81.7		L	6-	12		-0.100
5/10	RIDGE (13-8)	NJ Indep	81.2		L	7-	16		-0.100
5/17	at Hunterdon Central (7-9)	NJ CJ Cen	76.1		L	10-	14		-0.200
5/22	BERNARDS (10-8)	NJ CJ Lgn	76.1		W	14-	13	ot	0.225
			78.9						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	4-	15	-11	-9		-1.62	-1.91
4/07	A	Montgomery, NJ	11-	10	1	-2	+	1.62	3.34
4/09	H	Immaculata	9-	6	3	5	–	-1.62	-2.46
4/11	A	Hillsborough, NJ	7-	17	-10	-9		1.62	-0.75
4/17	A	Ridge	8-	20	-12	-9	–	1.62	-2.65
4/21	H	Somerville	11-	6	5	6		-1.62	-0.62
4/23	H	Hunterdon Central	11-	12	-1	1	–	-1.62	-2.23
4/26	A	Bridgewater-Raritan	6-	18	-12	-12		1.62	0.32
4/30	H	Voorhees	15-	14	1	-2	+	-1.62	3.39
5/01	H	Montgomery, NJ	9-	8	1	1		-1.62	0.10
5/03	A	Immaculata	17-	6	11	2	+++	1.62	8.78
5/07	A	Pingry School	10-	17	-7	-6		1.62	-0.56
5/08	H	Hillsborough, NJ	6-	12	-6	-6		-1.62	0.02
5/10	H	Ridge	7-	16	-9	-6	–	-1.62	-2.88
5/17	A	Hunterdon Central	10-	14	-4	-2		1.62	-1.99
5/22	H	Bernards	14-	13	1	1		-1.62	0.10
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	4-	15	1.00
4/11	A	Hillsborough, NJ	7-	17	0.00
4/17	A	Ridge	8-	20	2.00
4/26	A	Bridgewater-Raritan	6-	18	-0.32
5/03	A	Immaculata	17-	6	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.10

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	734
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.02		Natl Power Rank	734
Natl SOS Rating	69.73		Natl SOS Rank	436
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	330
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1093
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.0


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