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Wellesley HS Raiders (18-2 - 1)

Region: MA So D1

State: MA

Coach: Chris Molonea

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/26	RIVERS SCHOOL (5-9)	NE	76.8			-
3/29	NORWOOD (12-8)	MA So D1	78.0		W	10-	4		0.000
4/05	at Milton, MA (8-9)	MA So D2	77.6		W	12-	6		0.075
4/09	FRAMINGHAM (25-0)	MA No D1	91.8	2	L	8-	13		-0.225
4/11	NORWELL (12-10)	MA So D2	82.5		W	8-	4		0.100
4/20	at Algonquin (13-6)	MA Cen D1	81.0		W	9-	7		0.125
4/23	at Needham (17-5)	MA So D1	86.8	8	T	4-	4		0.000
4/25	at Natick (1-13)	MA So D1	66.4		W	14-	1		0.000
4/26	WEYMOUTH (9-10)	MA So D1	78.5		W	14-	7		0.025
5/01	WALPOLE (13-8)	MA So D2	82.8		W	12-	11		0.100
5/04	at Norwood (12-8)	MA So D1	78.0		W	13-	2		0.075
5/07	MILTON, MA (8-9)	MA So D2	77.6		W	19-	4		0.025
5/09	BROOKLINE (1-17)	MA So D1	59.9		W	20-	1		0.000
5/10	at Dedham (0-15)	MA So D2	58.1		W	15-	0		0.000
5/15	at Braintree (5-12)	MA So D1	69.4		W	17-	1		0.000
5/17	NATICK (1-13)	MA So D1	66.4		W	15-	0		0.000
5/21	at Newton North (12-7)	MA So D1	83.1		W	8-	6		0.175
5/23	at Walpole (13-8)	MA So D2	82.8		W	13-	6		0.175
5/24	DEDHAM (0-15)	MA So D2	58.1		W	18-	1		0.000
5/29	WEYMOUTH (9-10)	MA So D1	78.5		W	17-	3		0.025
5/31	NOTRE DAME ACADEMY, MA (12-3)	MA So D1	77.1		W	17-	5		0.000
6/06	at King Philip (20-2)	MA So D1	86.5	9	L	8-	10		-0.275
			79.2						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Norwood	10-	4	6	10	–	-1.16	-3.77
4/05	A	Milton, MA	12-	6	6	7		1.16	-1.00
4/09	H	Framingham	8-	13	-5	-1	––	-1.16	-4.33
4/11	H	Norwell	8-	4	4	6	–	-1.16	-2.17
4/20	A	Algonquin	9-	7	2	5	–	1.16	-3.31
4/23	A	Needham	4-	4	0	0		1.16	0.45
4/25	A	Natick	14-	1	13	12		1.16	0.73
4/26	H	Weymouth	14-	7	7	9		-1.16	-1.89
5/01	H	Walpole	12-	11	1	6	––	-1.16	-4.54
5/04	A	Norwood	13-	2	11	7	+	1.16	3.55
5/07	H	Milton, MA	19-	4	15	9	++	-1.16	5.67
5/09	H	Brookline	20-	1	19	18		-1.16	1.37
5/10	A	Dedham	15-	0	15	16		1.16	-0.89
5/15	A	Braintree	17-	1	16	11	++	1.16	4.78
5/17	H	Natick	15-	0	15	15		-1.16	0.40
5/21	A	Newton North	8-	6	2	3		1.16	-0.92
5/23	A	Walpole	13-	6	7	3	+	1.16	3.79
5/24	H	Dedham	18-	1	17	18		-1.16	-1.22
5/29	H	Weymouth	17-	3	14	9	++	-1.16	5.11
5/31	H	Notre Dame Academy, MA	17-	5	12	10		-1.16	1.60
6/06	A	King Philip	8-	10	-2	1	–	1.16	-3.42
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/25	A	Natick	14-	1	-0.73
5/04	A	Norwood	13-	2	-1.00
5/07	H	Milton, MA	19-	4	-5.00
5/09	H	Brookline	20-	1	-1.37
5/10	A	Dedham	15-	0	0.89
5/15	A	Braintree	17-	1	-4.78
5/17	H	Natick	15-	0	-0.40
5/24	H	Dedham	18-	1	1.22
5/29	H	Weymouth	17-	3	-4.00
5/31	H	Notre Dame Academy, MA	17-	5	-1.60
10-goal correction: -0.80

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	106
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.30		Natl Power Rank	102
Natl SOS Rating	70.43		Natl SOS Rank	403
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	520
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	102
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.0


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