| Region: FL Distr 8 | State: FL | Coach: Mary Hopkins |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/15 | at Freedom, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | W | 17- | 13 | | 0.100 |
2/16 | CYPRESS CREEK (9-8) | FL Distr 1 | 74.9 | | W | 21- | 3 | | 0.000 |
2/20 | APOPKA (4-11) | FL Distr 1 | 71.8 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.000 |
2/22 | at Timber Creek (11-7) | FL Distr 9 | 75.3 | | W | 13- | 2 | | 0.125 |
3/01 | OLYMPIA (13-6) | FL Distr 7 | 78.0 | | W | 14- | 10 | | 0.150 |
3/06 | vs. Westminster School, GA # (17-3) | GA A3 | 81.1 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.225 |
3/08 | at East Ridge (6-9) | FL Distr 8 | 72.1 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.025 |
3/20 | WINTER SPRINGS (18-3) | FL Distr 5 | 86.0 | 3 | L | 11- | 15 | | -0.150 |
3/22 | COLONIAL (2-12) | FL Distr 9 | 66.3 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/23 | at Ocoee (0-13) | FL Distr 8 | 62.1 | | W | 20- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | DR. PHILLIPS (2-13) | FL Distr 8 | 66.9 | | W | 24- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | at Boone (2-15) | FL Distr 6 | 69.4 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.000 |
4/02 | at Edgewater (10-7) | FL Distr 7 | 75.4 | | W | 17- | 16 | | 0.125 |
4/03 | UNIVERSITY HS, ORLANDO (7-10) | FL Distr 9 | 73.8 | | W | 16- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/05 | LYMAN (4-10) | FL Distr 4 | 74.0 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | OCOEE (0-13) | FL Distr 8 | 62.1 | | W | 22- | 0 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | DR. PHILLIPS (2-13) | FL Distr 8 | 66.9 | | W | 20- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/17 | vs. Timber Creek # (11-7) | FL Distr 9 | 75.3 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/20 | vs. Winter Springs # (18-3) | FL Distr 5 | 86.0 | 3 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.100 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.3 | | | | | | 0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/15 | A | Freedom, FL | 17- | 13 | 4 | 6 | – | 2.60 | -2.32 | |
2/16 | H | Cypress Creek | 21- | 3 | 18 | 11 | +++ | -2.60 | 6.63 | |
2/20 | H | Apopka | 15- | 5 | 10 | 14 | –– | -2.60 | -4.21 | |
2/22 | A | Timber Creek | 13- | 2 | 11 | 5 | +++ | 2.60 | 6.09 | |
3/01 | H | Olympia | 14- | 10 | 4 | 4 | | -2.60 | -0.12 | |
3/06 | N | Westminster School, GA | 8- | 10 | -2 | -1 | | 0.00 | | -0.93 |
3/08 | A | East Ridge | 14- | 3 | 11 | 9 | | 2.60 | 1.87 | |
3/20 | H | Winter Springs | 11- | 15 | -4 | -4 | | -2.60 | -0.48 | |
3/22 | H | Colonial | 17- | 3 | 14 | 20 | ––– | -2.60 | -6.48 | |
3/23 | A | Ocoee | 20- | 2 | 18 | 18 | | 2.60 | -0.48 | |
3/27 | H | Dr. Phillips | 24- | 4 | 20 | 20 | | -2.60 | -0.25 | |
3/30 | A | Boone | 17- | 4 | 13 | 12 | | 2.60 | 1.21 | |
4/02 | A | Edgewater | 17- | 16 | 1 | 5 | – | 2.60 | -3.61 | |
4/03 | H | University HS, Orlando | 16- | 3 | 13 | 12 | | -2.60 | 0.73 | |
4/05 | H | Lyman | 17- | 5 | 12 | 11 | | -2.60 | 0.74 | |
4/10 | H | Ocoee | 22- | 0 | 22 | 24 | | -2.60 | -1.68 | |
4/12 | H | Dr. Phillips | 20- | 3 | 17 | 20 | – | -2.60 | -3.25 | |
4/17 | N | Timber Creek | 17- | 3 | 14 | 8 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.49 | |
4/20 | N | Winter Springs | 8- | 15 | -7 | -6 | | 0.00 | -0.88 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -0.93 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/16 | H | Cypress Creek | 21- | 3 | -6.63 |
2/20 | H | Apopka | 15- | 5 | 4.21 |
2/22 | A | Timber Creek | 13- | 2 | -1.00 |
3/08 | A | East Ridge | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
3/22 | H | Colonial | 17- | 3 | 6.48 |
3/23 | A | Ocoee | 20- | 2 | 0.48 |
3/27 | H | Dr. Phillips | 24- | 4 | 0.25 |
3/30 | A | Boone | 17- | 4 | -1.21 |
4/03 | H | University HS, Orlando | 16- | 3 | -0.73 |
4/05 | H | Lyman | 17- | 5 | -0.74 |
4/10 | H | Ocoee | 22- | 0 | 1.68 |
4/12 | H | Dr. Phillips | 20- | 3 | 3.25 |
4/17 | N | Timber Creek | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.05 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 80. | | Natl CCR Rank | 397 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 79.99 | | Natl Power Rank | 397 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 58.05 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1237 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.10 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 834 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.84 | | W-L Pct Rank | 162 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 8.0 |
|
