| Region: VA Pat | State: VA | Coach: Brian Puhlick |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | H | Westfield, VA | 18- | 5 | 13 | 6 | +++ | -1.07 | 6.92 | |
3/15 | A | Fairfax | 15- | 5 | 10 | 12 | | 1.07 | -1.66 | |
3/27 | A | Annandale | 10- | 7 | 3 | 1 | | 1.07 | 1.82 | |
4/02 | N | Walton | 16- | 4 | 12 | 10 | | 0.00 | | 1.61 |
4/02 | N | Old Bridge | 14- | 8 | 6 | 10 | –– | 0.00 | | -4.06 |
4/03 | N | Princeton HS | 13- | 8 | 5 | 7 | – | 0.00 | | -2.08 |
4/04 | N | Saugerties | 17- | 0 | 17 | 12 | ++ | 0.00 | | 4.87 |
4/09 | A | Lake Braddock | 12- | 5 | 7 | 5 | | 1.07 | 1.53 | |
4/12 | H | West Potomac | 16- | 1 | 15 | 17 | | -1.07 | -1.51 | |
4/24 | H | South County | 16- | 3 | 13 | 11 | | -1.07 | 1.89 | |
4/26 | A | T.C. Williams | 16- | 6 | 10 | 10 | | 1.07 | -0.39 | |
4/30 | H | Hayfield | 18- | 2 | 16 | 19 | – | -1.07 | -3.36 | |
5/03 | H | Robert E. Lee | 17- | 3 | 14 | 13 | | -1.07 | 0.79 | |
5/07 | H | Hayfield | 17- | 1 | 16 | 19 | – | -1.07 | -3.36 | |
5/09 | N | South County | 17- | 1 | 16 | 10 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.95 | |
5/11 | N | Annandale | 13- | 11 | 2 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.24 | |
5/15 | H | Westfield, VA | 7- | 4 | 3 | 6 | – | -1.07 | -3.08 | |
5/17 | H | W.T. Woodson | 11- | 14 | -3 | 2 | –– | -1.07 | -5.29 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/13 | H | Westfield, VA | 18- | 5 | -3.00 |
3/15 | A | Fairfax | 15- | 5 | 1.66 |
4/02 | N | Walton | 16- | 4 | -1.61 |
4/04 | N | Saugerties | 17- | 0 | -4.87 |
4/12 | H | West Potomac | 16- | 1 | 1.51 |
4/24 | H | South County | 16- | 3 | -1.89 |
4/26 | A | T.C. Williams | 16- | 6 | 0.39 |
4/30 | H | Hayfield | 18- | 2 | 3.36 |
5/03 | H | Robert E. Lee | 17- | 3 | -0.79 |
5/07 | H | Hayfield | 17- | 1 | 3.36 |
5/09 | N | South County | 17- | 1 | -5.95 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.43 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 87. | | Natl CCR Rank | 113 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 86.95 | | Natl Power Rank | 110 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.52 | | Natl SOS Rank | 569 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.52 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 409 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.94 | | W-L Pct Rank | 41 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 9.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
|
