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Wilton Warriors (17-4)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Cindy Wiseman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	LOOMIS CHAFFEE SCHOOL (9-4)	NE	84.0		W	10-	6		0.100
4/09	LAKELAND-PANAS (21-2)	NY A Sec 1	93.1		L	11-	18		-0.175
4/10	at Ridgefield (11-7)	CT Div 2	81.1		W	16-	5		0.025
4/13	at New Canaan (12-6)	CT Div 1	83.5	7	W	16-	7		0.100
4/17	at St. Joseph, CT (7-9)	CT Div 2	78.6		W	15-	1		0.000
4/19	at Glastonbury (13-6)	CT Div 1	83.7	6	W	10-	2		0.100
4/24	DARIEN (21-1)	CT Div 1	92.5	1	L	9-	11		-0.175
5/01	at Greenwich HS (15-5)	CT Div 1	88.5	3	W	10-	9		0.250
5/02	BRIEN MCMAHON (14-7)	CT Div 2	81.4		W	16-	8		0.000
5/04	at Fairfield Ludlowe (10-8)	CT Div 2	79.2		W	20-	8		0.000
5/08	at Norwalk (4-11)	CT Div 2	74.5		W	19-	3		0.000
5/10	FAIRFIELD WARDE (4-11)	CT Div 1	77.9		W	19-	8		0.000
5/12	at Newtown (16-3)	CT Div 1	84.5	5	W	13-	7		0.100
5/14	NEW FAIRFIELD (10-8)	CT Div 1	78.1		W	19-	8		0.000
5/17	at Daniel Hand (16-4)	CT Div 1	86.2	4	W	15-	11		0.175
5/18	STAPLES (7-9)	CT Div 2	77.0		W	20-	3		0.000
5/24	GREENWICH HS (15-5)	CT Div 1	88.5	3	L	8-	11		-0.275
6/02	BRANFORD (12-8)	CT Div 1	81.1		W	14-	4		0.000
6/05	SOUTH WINDSOR (11-7)	CT Div 1	83.2	9	W	16-	7		0.075
6/07	vs. Daniel Hand # (16-4)	CT Div 1	86.2	4	W	9-	8		0.150
6/09	vs. Darien # (21-1)	CT Div 1	92.5	1	L	11-	17		-0.150
# Neutral site			82.3						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	Loomis Chaffee School	10-	6	4	6		-1.03		-1.70
4/09	H	Lakeland-Panas	11-	18	-7	-3	–	-0.99		-3.58
4/10	A	Ridgefield	16-	5	11	9		0.72	1.98
4/13	A	New Canaan	16-	7	9	6	+	0.72	2.96
4/17	A	St. Joseph, CT	15-	1	14	12	+	0.72	2.29
4/19	A	Glastonbury	10-	2	8	6	+	0.72	2.07
4/24	H	Darien	9-	11	-2	-3		-0.72	0.87
5/01	A	Greenwich HS	10-	9	1	0		0.72	1.27
5/02	H	Brien McMahon	16-	8	8	10	–	-0.72	-2.26
5/04	A	Fairfield Ludlowe	20-	8	12	11		0.72	0.60
5/08	A	Norwalk	19-	3	16	17		0.72	-0.64
5/10	H	Fairfield Warde	19-	8	11	12		-0.72	-1.04
5/12	A	Newtown	13-	7	6	6		0.72	0.09
5/14	H	New Fairfield	19-	8	11	14	–	-0.72	-2.58
5/17	A	Daniel Hand	15-	11	4	3		0.72	0.76
5/18	H	Staples	20-	3	17	15		-0.72	1.85
5/24	H	Greenwich HS	8-	11	-3	1	––	-0.72	-4.18
6/02	H	Branford	14-	4	10	10		-0.72	-0.30
6/05	H	South Windsor	16-	7	9	7		-0.72	1.63
6/07	N	Daniel Hand	9-	8	1	4	–	0.00	-2.96
6/09	N	Darien	11-	17	-6	-4	–	0.00	-2.41
									0.00	-5.28

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	Ridgefield	16-	5	-1.00
4/17	A	St. Joseph, CT	15-	1	-2.29
5/04	A	Fairfield Ludlowe	20-	8	-0.60
5/08	A	Norwalk	19-	3	0.64
5/10	H	Fairfield Warde	19-	8	1.04
5/14	H	New Fairfield	19-	8	2.58
5/18	H	Staples	20-	3	-1.85
6/02	H	Branford	14-	4	0.30
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	86
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	88.69		Natl Power Rank	80
Natl SOS Rating	76.22		Natl SOS Rank	165
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	609
W-L Pct Rating	0.81		W-L Pct Rank	213
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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