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Wilson, OR Trojans (8-8)

Region: OR PIL

State: OR

Coach: Herb Hincks

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	LINCOLN, OR (15-5)	OR PIL	75.0	3	L	7-	12		-0.100
3/15	CENTURY, OR (11-4)	OR NW	69.0	9	W	9-	6	ot	0.225
3/19	WESTVIEW, OR (9-7)	OR Metro	67.3		W	13-	9		0.200
4/03	at Cleveland (1-14)	OR PIL	53.7		W	13-	0		0.000
4/05	at Grant (10-6)	OR PIL	67.5		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/09	at Beaverton (5-11)	OR Metro	57.8		W	14-	6		0.000
4/10	at West Linn (14-4)	OR TRL	74.9	4	L	7-	10		-0.100
4/16	OREGON CITY (17-2)	OR TRL	75.7	2	L	9-	11		-0.075
4/19	at St. Mary's Academy, OR (19-0)	OR PIL	78.4	1	L	3-	9		-0.025
4/24	at Lincoln, OR (15-5)	OR PIL	75.0	3	L	6-	13		-0.100
4/26	at Wilsonville (3-13)	OR NW	54.3		W	15-	1		0.000
5/01	ST. MARY'S ACADEMY, OR (19-0)	OR PIL	78.4	1	L	3-	17		-0.025
5/04	at Episcopal School (7-9)	OR PIL	66.8		W	10-	9	ot	0.200
5/08	CLEVELAND (1-14)	OR PIL	53.7		W	12-	2		0.000
5/10	GRANT (10-6)	OR PIL	67.5		W	6-	3		0.200
5/14	EPISCOPAL SCHOOL (7-9)	OR PIL	66.8		L	7-	9		-0.300
			68.5						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Lincoln, OR	7-	12	-5	-6		-0.01	0.52
3/15	H	Century, OR	9-	6	3	1	+	-0.01	2.32
3/19	H	Westview, OR	13-	9	4	2	+	-0.01	2.14
4/03	A	Cleveland	13-	0	13	12		0.01	1.14
4/05	A	Grant	6-	7	-1	2	–	0.01	-2.89
4/09	A	Beaverton	14-	6	8	10	–	0.01	-2.19
4/10	A	West Linn	7-	10	-3	-6	+	0.01	3.01
4/16	H	Oregon City	9-	11	-2	-7	++	-0.01	5.00
4/19	A	St. Mary's Academy, OR	3-	9	-6	-9	+	0.01	2.82
4/24	A	Lincoln, OR	6-	13	-7	-6		0.01	-1.46
4/26	A	Wilsonville	15-	1	14	14		0.01	0.45
5/01	H	St. Mary's Academy, OR	3-	17	-14	-9	––	-0.01	-5.20
5/04	A	Episcopal School	10-	9	1	2		0.01	-0.92
5/08	H	Cleveland	12-	2	10	12		-0.01	-1.88
5/10	H	Grant	6-	3	3	2		-0.01	1.09
5/14	H	Episcopal School	7-	9	-2	2	–	-0.01	-3.94
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Cleveland	13-	0	-1.14
4/26	A	Wilsonville	15-	1	-0.45
5/01	H	St. Mary's Academy, OR	3-	17	4.00
5/08	H	Cleveland	12-	2	1.88
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1297
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.98		Natl Power Rank	1297
Natl SOS Rating	53.64		Natl SOS Rank	1641
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1378
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	953
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.7


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