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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Winters Mill Falcons (10-6)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Courtney Vaughn

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/26	NORTH CARROLL (11-7)	MD 3A	79.6		W	14-	8		0.200
3/30	at Century, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	8-	11		-0.050
4/04	at Westminster, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	85.6		L	4-	11		-0.125
4/10	SOUTH CARROLL (4-8)	MD 2A	72.0		W	16-	6		0.000
4/13	vs. Catonsville # (8-6)	MD 3A	82.7		L	3-	9		-0.225
4/14	vs. Bishop Ireton # (13-9)	DC WCAC	84.3		W	14-	13		0.300
4/17	C. MILTON WRIGHT (8-9)	MD 3A	81.0		W	12-	5		0.225
4/19	LIBERTY, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	85.0		L	7-	10		-0.225
4/21	URBANA (7-9)	MD 3A	76.4		W	15-	4		0.125
4/24	at Walkersville (13-3)	MD 2A	79.5		W	14-	9		0.225
4/26	FREDERICK (1-10)	MD 3A	57.1		W	14-	0		0.000
4/30	HEREFORD (9-7)	MD 2A	83.6		L	12-	14		-0.225
5/03	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (2-10)	MD 2A	68.7		W	19-	5		0.000
5/07	FALLSTON (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		W	16-	13		0.275
5/11	at North Hagerstown (0-6)	MD 2A	54.4		W	22-	1		0.000
5/12	at Century, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	6-	15		-0.050
# Neutral site			81.2						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/26	H	North Carroll	14-	8	6	2	+	-1.20	3.75
3/30	A	Century, MD	8-	11	-3	-8	++	1.20	5.07
4/04	A	Westminster, MD	4-	11	-7	-5	–	1.20	-2.01
4/10	H	South Carroll	16-	6	10	10		-1.20	0.14
4/13	N	Catonsville	3-	9	-6	-1	––	0.00	-5.33
4/14	N	Bishop Ireton	14-	13	1	-2	+	0.00		2.87
4/17	H	C. Milton Wright	12-	5	7	1	+++	-1.20	6.44
4/19	H	Liberty, MD	7-	10	-3	-1	–	-1.20	-2.08
4/21	H	Urbana	15-	4	11	5	++	-1.20	5.66
4/24	A	Walkersville	14-	9	5	1	++	1.20	4.44
4/26	H	Frederick	14-	0	14	26	–––	-1.20	-12.09
4/30	H	Hereford	12-	14	-2	-1		-1.20	-1.22
5/03	H	Francis Scott Key	19-	5	14	14		-1.20	0.24
5/07	H	Fallston	16-	13	3	-1	++	-1.20	4.09
5/11	A	North Hagerstown	22-	1	21	27	–––	1.20	-6.16
5/12	A	Century, MD	6-	15	-9	-8		1.20	-0.93
									0.00	2.87

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	South Carroll	16-	6	-0.14
4/21	H	Urbana	15-	4	-1.00
4/26	H	Frederick	14-	0	12.09
5/03	H	Francis Scott Key	19-	5	-0.24
5/11	A	North Hagerstown	22-	1	6.16
10-goal correction: 1.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	264
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.41		Natl Power Rank	264
Natl SOS Rating	75.53		Natl SOS Rank	182
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	471
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	611
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0

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