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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Winters Mill Falcons (10-6)

Region: MD 2AState: MDCoach: Courtney Vaughn

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/26NORTH CARROLL (11-7)MD 3A79.6W14- 8 0.200  
3/30at Century, MD (17-2)MD 2A91.33L8-11 -0.050  
4/04at Westminster, MD (12-3)MD 4A85.6L4-11 -0.125  
4/10SOUTH CARROLL (4-8)MD 2A72.0W16- 6 0.000  
4/13vs. Catonsville # (8-6)MD 3A82.7L3- 9 -0.225  
4/14vs. Bishop Ireton # (13-9)DC WCAC84.3W14-13 0.300  
4/17C. MILTON WRIGHT (8-9)MD 3A81.0W12- 5 0.225  
4/19LIBERTY, MD (11-4)MD 2A85.0L7-10 -0.225  
4/21URBANA (7-9)MD 3A76.4W15- 4 0.125  
4/24at Walkersville (13-3)MD 2A79.5W14- 9 0.225  
4/26FREDERICK (1-10)MD 3A57.1W14- 0 0.000  
4/30HEREFORD (9-7)MD 2A83.6L12-14 -0.225  
5/03FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (2-10)MD 2A68.7W19- 5 0.000  
5/07FALLSTON (7-7)MD 3A83.0W16-13 0.275  
5/11at North Hagerstown (0-6)MD 2A54.4W22- 1 0.000  
5/12at Century, MD (17-2)MD 2A91.33L6-15 -0.050  
# Neutral site 81.2     0.45  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26HNorth Carroll14-86   2       +-1.20       3.75
3/30ACentury, MD8-11-3   -8       ++1.20       5.07
4/04AWestminster, MD4-11-7   -5       1.20       -2.01
4/10HSouth Carroll16-610   10       -1.20       0.14
4/13NCatonsville3-9-6   -1       ––0.00       -5.33
4/14NBishop Ireton14-131   -2       +0.00       2.87
4/17HC. Milton Wright12-57   1       +++-1.20       6.44
4/19HLiberty, MD7-10-3   -1       -1.20       -2.08
4/21HUrbana15-411   5       ++-1.20       5.66
4/24AWalkersville14-95   1       ++1.20       4.44
4/26HFrederick14-014   26       –––-1.20       12.09
4/30HHereford12-14-2   -1       -1.20       -1.22
5/03HFrancis Scott Key19-514   14       -1.20       0.24
5/07HFallston16-133   -1       ++-1.20       4.09
5/11ANorth Hagerstown22-121   27       –––1.20       -6.16
5/12ACentury, MD6-15-9   -8       1.20       -0.93
         0.002.87

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/10HSouth Carroll16-6-0.14
4/21HUrbana15-4-1.00
4/26HFrederick14-012.09
5/03HFrancis Scott Key19-5-0.24
5/11ANorth Hagerstown22-16.16
10-goal correction: 1.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 82.   Natl CCR Rank 264
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.41   Natl Power Rank 264
Natl SOS Rating 75.53   Natl SOS Rank 182
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.45   Natl Quality Win Rank 471
W-L Pct Rating 0.62   W-L Pct Rank 611
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.0



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