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Winchester Thurston (2-12)

Region: PA WP D4

State: PA

Coach: Adriane LaRussa

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Seton-La Salle (12-7)	PA WP D3	80.4	4	L	0-	18		0.000
4/05	at Ellis School (3-9)	PA WP D4	68.9		L	6-	13		-0.150
4/10	at Franklin Regional, PA (14-7)	PA WP D4	79.2	6	L	0-	15		0.000
4/12	OAKLAND CATHOLIC, PA (14-6)	PA WP D4	74.3	10	L	5-	13		-0.075
4/17	YOUGH (6-11)	PA WP D4	68.8		W	8-	7		0.250
4/19	at Latrobe (15-5)	PA WP D4	73.0		L	2-	16		-0.050
4/20	at McDowell (5-7)	PA WP Ind	68.9		L	3-	5		-0.150
4/24	ELLIS SCHOOL (3-9)	PA WP D4	68.9		L	9-	11		-0.225
4/26	UNIVERSITY HS, WV (3-10)	PA WPSLA	65.9			-
5/01	FRANKLIN REGIONAL, PA (14-7)	PA WP D4	79.2	6	L	2-	14		0.000
5/03	at Oakland Catholic, PA (14-6)	PA WP D4	74.3	10	L	5-	16		-0.025
5/08	at Yough (6-11)	PA WP D4	68.8		L	7-	13		-0.200
5/09	LATROBE (15-5)	PA WP D4	73.0		L	10-	13		-0.125
5/14	at Quaker Valley (15-5)	PA WP D2	78.9	7	L	0-	15		0.000
5/15	at Greensburg Central Cat (3-10)	PA WP Ind	65.1		W	10-	3		0.225
5/21	FOX CHAPEL AREA (9-9)	PA WP D2	73.9			-
			70.2						-0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Seton-La Salle	0-	18	-18	-19		1.13	0.54
4/05	A	Ellis School	6-	13	-7	-4	–	1.13	-3.30
4/10	A	Franklin Regional, PA	0-	15	-15	-17		1.13	1.86
4/12	H	Oakland Catholic, PA	5-	13	-8	-7		-1.13	-1.13
4/17	H	Yough	8-	7	1	0		-1.13	0.97
4/19	A	Latrobe	2-	16	-14	-8	–––	1.13	-6.28
4/20	A	McDowell	3-	5	-2	-4		1.13	1.77
4/24	H	Ellis School	9-	11	-2	-1		-1.13	-0.57
5/01	H	Franklin Regional, PA	2-	14	-12	-15	+	-1.13	2.60
5/03	A	Oakland Catholic, PA	5-	16	-11	-9		1.13	-1.87
5/08	A	Yough	7-	13	-6	-2	–	1.13	-3.77
5/09	H	Latrobe	10-	13	-3	-5	+	-1.13	2.46
5/14	A	Quaker Valley	0-	15	-15	-15		1.13	0.41
5/15	A	Greensburg Central Cat	10-	3	7	1	+++	1.13	6.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Seton-La Salle	0-	18	-0.54
4/10	A	Franklin Regional, PA	0-	15	-1.86
4/19	A	Latrobe	2-	16	4.00
5/01	H	Franklin Regional, PA	2-	14	-2.60
5/03	A	Oakland Catholic, PA	5-	16	1.00
5/14	A	Quaker Valley	0-	15	-0.41
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1503
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.43		Natl Power Rank	1503
Natl SOS Rating	55.75		Natl SOS Rank	1471
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	1757
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	1723
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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