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Winchester Thurston (2-12)

Region: PA WP D4State: PACoach: Adriane LaRussa

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/03at Seton-La Salle (12-7)PA WP D380.44L0-18 0.000  
4/05at Ellis School (3-9)PA WP D468.9L6-13 -0.150  
4/10at Franklin Regional, PA (14-7)PA WP D479.26L0-15 0.000  
4/12OAKLAND CATHOLIC, PA (14-6)PA WP D474.310L5-13 -0.075  
4/17YOUGH (6-11)PA WP D468.8W8- 7 0.250  
4/19at Latrobe (15-5)PA WP D473.0L2-16 -0.050  
4/20at McDowell (5-7)PA WP Ind68.9L3- 5 -0.150  
4/24ELLIS SCHOOL (3-9)PA WP D468.9L9-11 -0.225  
4/26UNIVERSITY HS, WV (3-10)PA WPSLA65.9-    
5/01FRANKLIN REGIONAL, PA (14-7)PA WP D479.26L2-14 0.000  
5/03at Oakland Catholic, PA (14-6)PA WP D474.310L5-16 -0.025  
5/08at Yough (6-11)PA WP D468.8L7-13 -0.200  
5/09LATROBE (15-5)PA WP D473.0L10-13 -0.125  
5/14at Quaker Valley (15-5)PA WP D278.97L0-15 0.000  
5/15at Greensburg Central Cat (3-10)PA WP Ind65.1W10- 3 0.225  
5/21FOX CHAPEL AREA (9-9)PA WP D273.9-    
 70.2     -0.52  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/03ASeton-La Salle0-18-18   -19       1.13       0.54
4/05AEllis School6-13-7   -4       –1.13       -3.30
4/10AFranklin Regional, PA0-15-15   -17       1.13       1.86
4/12HOakland Catholic, PA5-13-8   -7       -1.13       -1.13
4/17HYough8-71   0       -1.13       0.97
4/19ALatrobe2-16-14   -8       –––1.13       -6.28
4/20AMcDowell3-5-2   -4       1.13       1.77
4/24HEllis School9-11-2   -1       -1.13       -0.57
5/01HFranklin Regional, PA2-14-12   -15       +-1.13       2.60
5/03AOakland Catholic, PA5-16-11   -9       1.13       -1.87
5/08AYough7-13-6   -2       –1.13       -3.77
5/09HLatrobe10-13-3   -5       +-1.13       2.46
5/14AQuaker Valley0-15-15   -15       1.13       0.41
5/15AGreensburg Central Cat10-37   1       +++1.13       6.32
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03ASeton-La Salle0-18-0.54
4/10AFranklin Regional, PA0-15-1.86
4/19ALatrobe2-164.00
5/01HFranklin Regional, PA2-14-2.60
5/03AOakland Catholic, PA5-161.00
5/14AQuaker Valley0-15-0.41
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 66.   Natl CCR Rank 1503
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 66.43   Natl Power Rank 1503
Natl SOS Rating 55.75   Natl SOS Rank 1471
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.52   Natl Quality Win Rank 1757
W-L Pct Rating 0.14   W-L Pct Rank 1723
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 2-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -18.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.7



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