| Region: FL Distr 6 | State: FL | Coach: Tom Kienle |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/15 | at Timber Creek (11-7) | FL Distr 9 | 75.3 | | W | 10- | 1 | | 0.075 |
2/16 | at Oviedo (13-6) | FL Distr 5 | 83.4 | 6 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.375 |
2/20 | at Cypress Creek (9-8) | FL Distr 1 | 74.9 | | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.050 |
2/22 | at Colonial (2-12) | FL Distr 9 | 66.3 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
2/23 | DR. PHILLIPS (2-13) | FL Distr 8 | 66.9 | | W | 19- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/01 | BOONE (2-15) | FL Distr 6 | 69.4 | | W | 19- | 2 | | 0.000 |
3/02 | at Vero Beach (18-4) | FL South 4 | 91.4 | 2 | L | 6- | 16 | | 0.000 |
3/03 | vs. St. Andrew's, FL # (9-7) | FL South 2 | 78.3 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.175 |
3/03 | vs. St. Edward's # (8-8) | FL South 4 | 79.0 | | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.300 |
3/05 | at University HS, Orlando (7-10) | FL Distr 9 | 73.8 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.025 |
3/07 | at Winter Springs (18-3) | FL Distr 5 | 86.0 | 3 | L | 10- | 14 | | -0.075 |
3/09 | vs. Walton # (8-7) | GA A8 | 77.6 | | W | 15- | 9 | | 0.125 |
3/10 | vs. Lovett # (11-5) | GA A8 | 79.1 | | W | 17- | 9 | | 0.175 |
3/21 | at Freedom, FL (5-11) | FL Distr 9 | 74.1 | | W | 20- | 2 | | 0.050 |
3/23 | LAKE BRANTLEY (23-1) | FL Distr 4 | 91.5 | 1 | L | 5- | 10 | | -0.100 |
3/27 | EDGEWATER (10-7) | FL Distr 7 | 75.4 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.000 |
3/30 | TAMPA CATHOLIC (8-3) | FL Distr 6 | 79.8 | 9 | W | 10- | 6 | | 0.150 |
4/03 | OLYMPIA (13-6) | FL Distr 7 | 78.0 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/04 | PARK VISTA (16-3) | FL South 2 | 85.2 | 4 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.250 |
4/06 | OCOEE (0-13) | FL Distr 8 | 62.1 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | TAMPA CATHOLIC (8-3) | FL Distr 6 | 79.8 | 9 | W | 13- | 10 | | 0.150 |
4/18 | vs. Nease # (15-6) | FL Distr 3 | 79.2 | 10 | W | 7- | 4 | | 0.175 |
4/20 | vs. Lake Brantley # (23-1) | FL Distr 4 | 91.5 | 1 | L | 4- | 19 | | -0.050 |
| # Neutral site | | 77.8 | | | | | | 1.35 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/15 | A | Timber Creek | 10- | 1 | 9 | 7 | + | 2.60 | 2.02 | |
2/16 | A | Oviedo | 8- | 7 | 1 | -5 | ++ | 2.60 | 5.70 | |
2/20 | A | Cypress Creek | 18- | 4 | 14 | 8 | ++ | 2.60 | 5.77 | |
2/22 | A | Colonial | 19- | 2 | 17 | 17 | | 2.60 | -0.34 | |
2/23 | H | Dr. Phillips | 19- | 0 | 19 | 22 | – | -2.60 | -3.32 | |
3/01 | H | Boone | 19- | 2 | 17 | 19 | – | -2.60 | -2.07 | |
3/02 | A | Vero Beach | 6- | 16 | -10 | -11 | | 2.60 | 1.21 | |
3/03 | N | St. Andrew's, FL | 11- | 3 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.11 | |
3/03 | N | St. Edward's | 5- | 10 | -5 | 2 | ––– | 0.00 | -6.54 | |
3/05 | A | University HS, Orlando | 16- | 7 | 9 | 9 | | 2.60 | -0.13 | |
3/07 | A | Winter Springs | 10- | 14 | -4 | -7 | + | 2.60 | 2.66 | |
3/09 | N | Walton | 15- | 9 | 6 | 5 | | 0.00 | | 1.28 |
3/10 | N | Lovett | 17- | 9 | 8 | 3 | ++ | 0.00 | | 4.82 |
3/21 | A | Freedom, FL | 20- | 2 | 18 | 8 | +++ | 2.60 | 9.61 | |
3/23 | H | Lake Brantley | 5- | 10 | -5 | -6 | | -2.60 | 0.67 | |
3/27 | H | Edgewater | 18- | 8 | 10 | 12 | | -2.60 | -1.88 | |
3/30 | H | Tampa Catholic | 10- | 6 | 4 | 4 | | -2.60 | 0.14 | |
4/03 | H | Olympia | 11- | 8 | 3 | 6 | – | -2.60 | -3.19 | |
4/04 | H | Park Vista | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | -2.60 | 1.39 | |
4/06 | H | Ocoee | 18- | 1 | 17 | 26 | ––– | -2.60 | -8.75 | |
4/11 | H | Tampa Catholic | 13- | 10 | 3 | 4 | | -2.60 | -0.86 | |
4/18 | N | Nease | 7- | 4 | 3 | 3 | | 0.00 | -0.47 | |
4/20 | N | Lake Brantley | 4- | 19 | -15 | -8 | ––– | 0.00 | -6.73 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 6.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/20 | A | Cypress Creek | 18- | 4 | -4.00 |
2/22 | A | Colonial | 19- | 2 | 0.34 |
2/23 | H | Dr. Phillips | 19- | 0 | 3.32 |
3/01 | H | Boone | 19- | 2 | 2.07 |
3/02 | A | Vero Beach | 6- | 16 | -1.21 |
3/21 | A | Freedom, FL | 20- | 2 | -8.00 |
3/27 | H | Edgewater | 18- | 8 | 1.88 |
4/06 | H | Ocoee | 18- | 1 | 8.75 |
4/20 | N | Lake Brantley | 4- | 19 | 5.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.35 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 269 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 82.30 | | Natl Power Rank | 269 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 69.04 | | Natl SOS Rank | 473 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 66 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.78 | | W-L Pct Rank | 258 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 18-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
|
