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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Winter Springs Bears (18-3)

Region: FL Distr 5State: FLCoach: Steve Efland

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
2/12FLAGLER PALM COAST (11-8)FL Distr 375.5W21- 6 0.000  
2/14at Lyman (4-10)FL Distr 474.0W18- 2 0.000  
2/16at St. Edward's (8-8)FL South 479.0W11- 9 0.175  
2/19at Lake Highland Prep (13-9)FL Distr 777.5W16- 3 0.100  
2/21OVIEDO (13-6)FL Distr 583.46W12- 4 0.125  
2/23VERO BEACH (18-4)FL South 491.42L12-13 -0.200  
3/03vs. Wellington, FL # (16-5)FL South 384.75W11- 6 0.200  
3/03vs. Pine Crest # (14-7)FL South 178.2W9- 6 0.025  
3/07WINTER PARK (18-5)FL Distr 682.37W14-10 0.075  
3/09at Lake Howell (8-6)FL Distr 576.4W15- 8 0.025  
3/20at West Orange (16-3)FL Distr 880.08W15-11 0.150  
3/21at Lake Mary (5-9)FL Distr 475.4W16- 8 0.050  
3/22at Bishop Moore (4-9)FL Distr 775.1W20- 5 0.000  
3/28LAKE BRANTLEY (23-1)FL Distr 491.51L5-15 -0.200  
3/30NEASE (15-6)FL Distr 379.210W17-12 0.000  
4/04SEMINOLE (0-9)FL Distr 467.7W20- 1 0.000  
4/05at Olympia (13-6)FL Distr 778.0W17- 5 0.125  
4/13OVIEDO (13-6)FL Distr 583.46W19-11 0.125  
4/17vs. Bartram Trail # (14-5)FL Distr 278.7W16- 9 0.075  
4/20vs. West Orange # (16-3)FL Distr 880.08W15- 8 0.100  
4/27vs. Lake Brantley # (23-1)FL Distr 491.51L8-19 -0.150  
# Neutral site 80.4     0.80  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/12HFlagler Palm Coast21-615   15       -2.60       0.50
2/14ALyman18-216   12       +2.60       3.83
2/16ASt. Edward's11-92   3       2.60       -0.99
2/19ALake Highland Prep16-313   6       +++2.60       6.97
2/21HOviedo12-48   5       +-2.60       3.44
2/23HVero Beach12-13-1   -2       -2.60       0.95
3/03NWellington, FL11-65   2       +0.00       3.00
3/03NPine Crest9-63   9       ––0.00       -5.63
3/07HWinter Park14-104   7       -2.60       -2.66
3/09ALake Howell15-87   9       2.60       -1.56
3/20AWest Orange15-114   4       2.60       0.48
3/21ALake Mary16-88   8       2.60       -0.19
3/22ABishop Moore20-515   10       ++2.60       5.36
3/28HLake Brantley5-15-10   -2       –––-2.60       -8.39
3/30HNease17-125   10       ––-2.60       -5.13
4/04HSeminole20-119   23       ––-2.60       -4.46
4/05AOlympia17-512   5       +++2.60       6.97
4/13HOviedo19-118   5       +-2.60       3.44
4/17NBartram Trail16-97   7       0.00       -0.03
4/20NWest Orange15-87   6       0.00       0.88
4/27NLake Brantley8-19-11   -4       –––0.00       -6.78
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/12HFlagler Palm Coast21-6-0.50
2/14ALyman18-2-3.83
2/19ALake Highland Prep16-3-3.00
3/22ABishop Moore20-5-5.36
3/28HLake Brantley5-150.00
4/04HSeminole20-14.46
4/05AOlympia17-5-2.00
4/27NLake Brantley8-191.00
10-goal correction: -0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 86.   Natl CCR Rank 140
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 85.98   Natl Power Rank 139
Natl SOS Rating 72.82   Natl SOS Rank 294
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.80   Natl Quality Win Rank 219
W-L Pct Rating 0.86   W-L Pct Rank 134
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 15-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.0



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