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Worthington Kilbourne Wolves (8-9)

Region: OH C-D1

State: OH

Coach: Doug Troutner

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	NEW ALBANY (18-3)	OH C-D2	81.1		L	6-	9		-0.250
3/22	BISHOP HARTLEY (1-11)	OH C-D2	74.7		W	13-	5		0.050
3/27	DUBLIN JEROME (10-7)	OH C-D1	82.6	5	L	10-	16		-0.150
3/28	at Dublin Coffman (5-7)	OH C-D1	78.4		W	10-	8		0.250
3/29	at Mariemont (7-8)	OH S-D1	81.2	9	L	7-	13		-0.125
3/30	at Mt. Notre Dame, OH (13-4)	OH S-D1	80.8		L	7-	11		-0.175
4/10	at Wellington School, OH (11-2)	OH C-D2	80.3		L	5-	8		-0.200
4/14	vs. Franklin Regional, PA # (14-7)	PA WP D4	79.2		W	6-	5		0.250
4/14	vs. Kent Roosevelt # (8-9)	OH NNW-D1	78.1		W	10-	2		0.225
4/17	at Hilliard Davidson (7-7)	OH C-D1	78.0		W	14-	6		0.200
4/19	at Columbus Academy, OH (11-4)	OH C-D1	85.3	3	L	4-	10		0.000
4/24	COLUMBUS SG, OH (4-11)	OH C-D1	77.6		W	9-	7		0.200
4/26	UPPER ARLINGTON (16-4)	OH C-D1	86.0	2	L	2-	15		-0.025
5/03	HILLIARD DARBY (8-10)	OH C-D1	76.6		W	9-	7		0.125
5/04	at Thomas Worthington (14-6)	OH C-D1	84.4	4	L	4-	18		-0.025
5/07	at Dublin Scioto (0-13)	OH C-D1	74.1		W	16-	9		0.075
5/14	at Mason (12-4)	OH S-D1	81.3	8	L	13-	16		-0.150
# Neutral site			77.9						0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	New Albany	6-	9	-3	0	–	-1.09	-2.65
3/22	H	Bishop Hartley	13-	5	8	8		-1.09	-0.40
3/27	H	Dublin Jerome	10-	16	-6	-4		-1.09	-1.69
3/28	A	Dublin Coffman	10-	8	2	0	+	1.09	2.02
3/29	A	Mariemont	7-	13	-6	-5		1.09	-0.57
3/30	A	Mt. Notre Dame, OH	7-	11	-4	-3		1.09	-0.55
4/10	A	Wellington School, OH	5-	8	-3	-2		1.09	-0.52
4/14	N	Franklin Regional, PA	6-	5	1	0		0.00		1.02
4/14	N	Kent Roosevelt	10-	2	8	1	+++	0.00	6.68
4/17	A	Hilliard Davidson	14-	6	8	2	+++	1.09	6.01
4/19	A	Columbus Academy, OH	4-	10	-6	-10	+	1.09	3.56
4/24	H	Columbus SG, OH	9-	7	2	2		-1.09	-0.30
4/26	H	Upper Arlington	2-	15	-13	-9	––	-1.09	-4.36
5/03	H	Hilliard Darby	9-	7	2	5	–	-1.09	-3.40
5/04	A	Thomas Worthington	4-	18	-14	-9	––	1.09	-4.76
5/07	A	Dublin Scioto	16-	9	7	7		1.09	0.07
5/14	A	Mason	13-	16	-3	-4		1.09	0.86
									0.00	1.02

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/26	H	Upper Arlington	2-	15	3.00
5/04	A	Thomas Worthington	4-	18	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	452
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.16		Natl Power Rank	452
Natl SOS Rating	68.01		Natl SOS Rank	538
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	656
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1009
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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